Lilian Poling vs Maria Sara PopaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Lilian Poling
Unranked · 28 yrs
6w1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇷🇴Maria Sara Popa
#413 · 20 yrs · Left-Handed
TitleLilian Poling and Maria Sara Popa have met 1 time since 2026; Maria Sara Popa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Poling has taken 0 sets to Popa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Maria Sara Popa won at W15 Bucharest (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poling | Sara Popa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lilian Poling | Maria Sara Popa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 3/6 | 76% | 32/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 5/19 | 28% | 18/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 2/4 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 23% | 3/13 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 3/3 | 93% | 38/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 3/3 | 78% | 32/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Poling 0, Sara Popa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poling
🧱 The Wall
Popa
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 61% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,661 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maria Sara Popa.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 14, 2026
W15 Bucharest
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poling | Popa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 4.09 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | +130.0% | +5.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.60u | +0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poling | Popa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 9 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | AUT → LUX → TUN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Popa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Poling's 0%).
| Opponent | Poling | Popa |
|---|---|---|
| Athina Schlepphorst | L 46 62 06 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Emma Dong
W35 Saskatoon · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Alexandra Vagramov
W35 Saskatoon · 1st Round
Jul 22
Emma Dong
Granby ITF
Jul 13
Maria Sara Popa
W15 Bucharest · 2nd Round
May 14
Joulia Cristiana Cirstea
W15 Bucharest · 1st Round
May 13
Esther Adeshina
W35 Nottingham · 2nd Round
May 7
Urszula Radwanska
W35 Nottingham · 1st Round
May 6
Kolie Allen
W35 Nottingham · 1st Round
Apr 29
Simona Ogescu
W15 Brasov · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Rachel Gailis
W15 Brasov · 1st Round
Aug 26
Adrienn Nagy
W35 Bistrita · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Oana Georgeta Simion
W35 Bistrita · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Stefania Bojica
W35 Bistrita · 1st Round
Aug 19
Ida Wobker
W15 Bucharest · Final
Aug 16
Diana Ioana Simionescu
W15 Bucharest · Semifinals
Aug 15
Angelica Raggi
W15 Bucharest · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–64 matches
| Metric | Poling | Popa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 30% | 66% |
| Sets won | 32% | 63% |
| Games won | 41% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Poling | Popa |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Poling | Popa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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