Lilian Poling vs Luisa HrdaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W50 Quebec City
- Level
- ITF W50
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.20 or shorter, Lilian Poling has won 11 of 12 (92%). The price implied 86%, so Lilian Poling has beaten it by 6 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Lilian Poling meets Luisa Hrda in the third round of qualifying at the W50 Quebec City on October 12 on hard court. Both players arrive unranked and having played matches within the last day, suggesting they have navigated the earlier qualifying rounds and are now locked in a condensed schedule.
The two have never faced each other. Luisa Hrda has won just one match in her last five outings, while Lilian Poling won two of her last five; over the past ten matches, Hrda's record stands at 5-5 compared to Poling's 3-7. Both players have been active in qualifying, with Poling competing in five matches over the past 14 days and Hrda in two.
Poling tends to create problems for opponents through tactical adjustment and disruption rather than overwhelming power. Hrda operates as a steady, persistent competitor who builds points methodically. On hard court, Poling holds a 40% win rate in recent play while Hrda stands at 45%. The match will test whether Poling's disruptive approach can frustrate Hrda's rhythm, or if Hrda's consistency and court positioning can neutralize Poling's adjustments over a full qualifying round.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poling | Hrda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lilian Poling | Luisa Hrda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 7/11 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 17% | 2/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 4/10 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 6/16 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 8/10 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 78% | 7/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poling
🛡️ The Spoiler
Hrda
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🛡️ The Spoiler archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,007 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lilian Poling.
The Spoiler players often use strong court coverage and strong retrieval to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Poling and Hrda have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Poling | Hrda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lilian Poling | Luisa Hrda | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poling | Hrda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 6.49 |
| ROI % | +11.9% | +133.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.83u | +14.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poling | Hrda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR → COL → SRB | USA → GER → SRB |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Poling and Hrda posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Poling | Hrda |
|---|---|---|
| Elisabeth Djabourian | W 64 61 | W 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elisabeth Djabourian
W50 Quebec City · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Amandine Monnot
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kaat Coppez
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Milena Ciocan
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Fanny Pire
W35 Reims · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
W35 Roehampton · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Lexington Reed
W75 Lexington · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Emma Dong
W35 Saskatoon · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Poudima Anne-Marie Bre-Naam Gnarou
W50 Quebec City · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Noa Krznaric
W50 Heraklion · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Linda Sevcikova
W15 Constanta · 1st Round
Sep 22
Carmen Lopez Martinez
W75 Le Neubourg · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Valeriya Strakhova
W35 Verbier · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Dalila Spiteri
W35 Verbier · 1st Round
Aug 26
Milla Sequeira
W35 Verbier · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Luana Kappeler
W35 Verbier · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–31 matches
| Metric | Poling | Hrda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 45% |
| Sets won | 39% | 45% |
| Games won | 45% | 47% |