Lilian Marmousez vs Nicolas Alvarez VaronaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Lilian Marmousez
#512 · 24 yrs · R
2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇪🇸Nicolas Alvarez Varona
#845 · 25 yrs · R
18wLilian Marmousez and Nicolas Alvarez Varona have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Troyes Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Marmousez has taken 2 sets to Varona's 3. Their most recent meeting: Nicolas Alvarez Varona won at Lyon (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marmousez | Alvarez Varona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lilian Marmousez | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 16/26 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 4/9 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 14/35 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 14/27 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marmousez 0, Alvarez Varona 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marmousez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Varona
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Lilian Marmousez and Nicolas Alvarez Varona are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 9, 2025
Lyon
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 4, 2024
Troyes Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marmousez | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.28 | - |
| ROI % | -18.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.01u | - |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sander Jong
M25 Sabadell · Semifinals
Sep 26
Luka Talan Lopatic
M25 Sabadell · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Bruno Pujol Navarro
M25 Sabadell · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Matias Reyniak
M25 Sabadell · 1st Round
Sep 23
Mate Valkusz
M15 Budapest · Final
Sep 13
John Sperle
M15 Budapest · Semifinals
Sep 12
Orel Kimhi
M15 Budapest · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Michele Mecarelli
M15 Budapest · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Hynek Barton
Bratislava Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Milos Karol
Bratislava Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Valentin Royer
Perugia Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Manuel Mazza
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Benjamin Winter Lopez
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Oriol Roca Batalla
M25 Mataro · Quarterfinals
May 22
Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M25 Mataro · Round of 16
May 21
Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M25 Mataro · 2nd Round
May 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 17–35 matches
| Metric | Marmousez | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | 53% |
| Sets won | 67% | 50% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marmousez | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marmousez | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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