Lilian Marmousez vs Mate ValkuszPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lilian Marmousez and Mate Valkusz have met 1 time since 2026; Mate Valkusz leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Valkusz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Marmousez has taken 1 sets to Valkusz's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mate Valkusz won at M15 Budapest (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marmousez | Valkusz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lilian Marmousez | Mate Valkusz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 16/26 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 4/9 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 14/35 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 14/27 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marmousez 0, Valkusz 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marmousez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Valkusz
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lilian Marmousez.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 13, 2026
M15 Budapest
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marmousez | Valkusz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lilian Marmousez | Mate Valkusz | ||
| 1 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marmousez | Valkusz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–3 | 7–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.28 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | -18.3% | +0.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.01u | +0.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Marmousez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Valkusz's 0%).
| Opponent | Marmousez | Valkusz |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Paolini | W 64 62 | L 64 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sander Jong
M25 Sabadell · Semifinals
Sep 26
Luka Talan Lopatic
M25 Sabadell · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Bruno Pujol Navarro
M25 Sabadell · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Matias Reyniak
M25 Sabadell · 1st Round
Sep 23
Mate Valkusz
M15 Budapest · Final
Sep 13
John Sperle
M15 Budapest · Semifinals
Sep 12
Orel Kimhi
M15 Budapest · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Michele Mecarelli
M15 Budapest · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Lilian Marmousez
M15 Budapest · Final
Sep 13
Jan Kupcic
M15 Budapest · Semifinals
Sep 12
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Budapest · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Lorenzo Comino
M15 Budapest · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Nikita Bilozertsev
M15 Budapest · 1st Round
Sep 8
Andrea Paolini
M15 Pecs · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Michael Gloeckler
M15 Pecs · 1st Round
Aug 26
Pawel Juszczak
M15 Krakow · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–35 matches
| Metric | Marmousez | Valkusz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | 81% |
| Sets won | 67% | 72% |
| Games won | 56% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marmousez | Valkusz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marmousez | Valkusz |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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