Liam Hignett vs Matt PonchetPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Sheffield
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- Semifinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 30 · 7:30 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.51 or shorter, Matt Ponchet has won 4 of 10 (40%). The price implied 70%, so Matt Ponchet has fallen 30 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Liam Hignett and Matt Ponchet meet in the semifinals of the M25 Sheffield on hard court Friday. The two have never played. Hignett, unranked, has won 13 of his last 20 matches on hard; Ponchet, ranked 777, has taken 9 of 20 on the surface.
Ponchet won 4 of his last 5 matches heading into this week. Hignett has won 4 straight and reached 6 of 7 matches since last week. Both men won against Joaquin Benoit recently, though each fell to Karl Friberg and Patrick Brady in their recent samples.
Hignett relies on his serve as his primary weapon and has built his record on holding serve. Ponchet plays an aggressive baseline game and generates power from the ground. The semifinal will ask Hignett to maintain that service consistency under pressure and ask Ponchet whether his aggressive shots can break through Hignett's reliability on hard court.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hignett | Ponchet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Liam Hignett | Matt Ponchet | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 9/11 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 11% | 1/9 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 15% | 3/20 | 29% | 11/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 4/6 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 5/5 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 11/11 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hignett
🤖 Servebot
Ponchet
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,835 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Hignett and Ponchet have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hignett | Ponchet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Liam Hignett | Matt Ponchet | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hignett | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.32 | 3.56 |
| ROI % | +93.1% | +25.4% |
| Units P/L | +7.45u | +1.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ponchet has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Hignett's 33%).
| Opponent | Hignett | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Jubb | L 36 16 | W |
| Patrick Brady | L 16 36 | L 62 16 26 |
| Peio Del Nido | W 16 62 101 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexis Canter
M25 Sheffield · 2nd Round
Oct 28
Louis Wessels
M25 Sheffield · 1st Round
Oct 27
Brian Bozemoj
M25 Sheffield · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 26
Cian Maguire
M25 Sheffield · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Patrick Brady
M25 Redbridge · 2nd Round
Oct 21
Pablo Perez Ramos
M25 Redbridge · 1st Round
Oct 20
Frank Barnett
M25 Redbridge · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Sean Hodkin
M25 Roehampton · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Martin Krumich
M25 Sheffield · Quarterfinals
Oct 29
Paul Jubb
M25 Sheffield · 2nd Round
Oct 28
Stijn Pel
M25 Sheffield · 1st Round
Oct 27
Arthur Nagel
M25 Sarreguemines · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Theo Herrmann
M25 Sarreguemines · 1st Round
Oct 20
Mickael Kaouk
M25 Plaisir · 1st Round
Sep 8
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Marcus Walters
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–38 matches
| Metric | Hignett | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 47% |
| Sets won | 53% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |