Liam Broady vs Sergey FominPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Ningboo Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 27 · 2:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 3.20 or longer, Sergey Fomin has won 6 of 23 (26%). The price implied 22%, so Sergey Fomin has beaten it by 4 points.
At 1.31 or shorter, Liam Broady has won 84 of 95 (88%). The price implied 77%, so Liam Broady has beaten it by 11 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Liam Broady and Sergey Fomin meet in the 1st Round of the Ningboo Challenger on October 26 on hard court. Broady carries a ranking of 233 to Fomin's 294, though recent results tell a more complicated story. The two have never faced each other.
Broady has struggled on hard courts, winning just 7 of his last 20 matches there at 35%. His form dipped further over the past fortnight, with one win in his last five and one in his last ten. Fomin has posted better recent numbers, with a 50% record on hard and three wins in his last five, though he arrives on a two-match losing streak after five matches in 14 days.
Broady operates as a counterpuncher who reads the court and redirects pace rather than generating his own. Fomin plays a more versatile game across baseline and net. Broady's hard court record suggests inconsistency, while Fomin has shown steadier results on the surface. The match will test whether Broady can construct points through reaction and placement, or whether Fomin's all-court approach will control the rhythm.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Broady | Fomin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Liam Broady | Sergey Fomin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 64% | 29/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 21/70 | 34% | 25/74 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 23/53 | 52% | 22/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 6/13 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 11/25 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 37/40 | 86% | 36/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 28/40 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Broady
🪃 Counterpuncher
Fomin
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sergey Fomin.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Broady and Fomin have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Broady | Fomin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Liam Broady | Sergey Fomin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Broady | Fomin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–7 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | -84.5% | -44.2% |
| Units P/L | -6.76u | -5.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Broady | Fomin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | FRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Broady has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Fomin's 33%).
| Opponent | Broady | Fomin |
|---|---|---|
| Dominik Palan | W 67 64 62 | W 76 75 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 76 36 26 | L 26 64 46 |
| Harry Wendelken | W 36 62 62 | L 57 26 |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | W 76 67 62 | L 61 36 16 |
| Toby Samuel | L 36 36 | L 46 26 |
| Robin Bertrand | W 63 62 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Akira Santillan
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Dominik Palan
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 12
Dominic Stricker
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Marco Cecchinato
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Ozan Baris
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Tristan Schoolkate
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Martin Borisiouk
M25 Qian Daohu · Semifinals
Oct 17
Yusuke Takahashi
M25 Qian Daohu · Quarterfinals
Oct 16
Matthew Shearer
M25 Qian Daohu · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Dominik Palan
M25 Qian Daohu · 1st Round
Oct 14
Timofei Derepasko
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–74 matches
| Metric | Broady | Fomin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 61% |
| Sets won | 56% | 57% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |