Li Tu vs Roger Pascual FerraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊLi Tu
#527 Β· 30 yrs Β· R
1 meeting Β· sets 0β2
πͺπΈRoger Pascual Ferra
#652 Β· 20 yrs Β· L
4wLi Tu and Roger Pascual Ferra have met 1 time since 2026; Roger Pascual Ferra leads 1β0. Across all meetings Tu has taken 0 sets to Ferra's 2. Their most recent meeting: Roger Pascual Ferra won at Tiburon Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tu | Pascual Ferra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Li Tu | Roger Pascual Ferra | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 15/21 | 85% | 17/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 4/18 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/39 | 27% | 8/30 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 15% | 2/13 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 85% | 17/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 85% | 17/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tu 0, Pascual Ferra 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tu
π€ Servebot
Ferra
βοΈ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs βοΈ The Gladiator across 900 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Li Tu.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 13, 2026
Tiburon Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tu | Ferra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Li Tu | Roger Pascual Ferra | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tu | Ferra |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β4 | 6β6 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -44.6% | -2.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | -0.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tu | Ferra |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 4 | β |
| Distance | 1,953 mi Β· 3,143 km | β |
| Route | USA | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 29
James Kent Trotter
Columbus Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nicolas Oliveira
Columbus Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Alafia Ayeni
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Roger Pascual Ferra
Tiburon Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Quinn Vandecasteele
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Lorenzo Carboni
Internazionali di Tennis CittΓ di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup Β· 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Lukas Neumayer
Vicenza Challenger Β· 1st Round
May 25
Luca Staeheli
Tiburon Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Li Tu
Tiburon Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Kenta Miyoshi
Kingston 1 Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Kingston 1 Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Lexington Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Aidan Mayo
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Colton Smith
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 30β39 matches
| Metric | Tu | Ferra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 67% |
| Sets won | 52% | 66% |
| Games won | 51% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tu | Ferra |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tu | Ferra |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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