Li Tu vs Nicolas OliveiraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Li Tu and Nicolas Oliveira have met 1 time since 2026; Li Tu leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tu has taken 2 sets to Oliveira's 0. Their most recent meeting: Li Tu won at Columbus Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tu | Oliveira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Li Tu | Nicolas Oliveira | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 15/21 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 4/18 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/39 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 15% | 2/13 | 90% | 9/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 93% | 13/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 86% | 12/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tu 1, Oliveira 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tu
🤖 Servebot
Oliveira
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Li Tu.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 27, 2026
Columbus Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tu | Oliveira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Li Tu | Nicolas Oliveira | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tu | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | -44.6% | -57.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | -2.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tu | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Oliveira's 0%).
| Opponent | Tu | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Connaughton | W 60 62 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
James Kent Trotter
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nicolas Oliveira
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Alafia Ayeni
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Roger Pascual Ferra
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Quinn Vandecasteele
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Lorenzo Carboni
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Lukas Neumayer
Vicenza Challenger · 1st Round
May 25
Li Tu
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Carlos Maria Zarate
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Andre Souza
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M15 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Martin Vergara Del Puerto
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Zanellato
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 21
Nick Hardt
Piracicaba Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 25
Arklon Huertas Del Pino
Piracicaba Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–39 matches
| Metric | Tu | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 75% |
| Sets won | 52% | 68% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tu | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tu | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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