Leo Raquillet vs Matteo CovatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Cassis Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 6 · 4:05 AM ET
Book odds
Matteo Covato meets Leo Raquillet in first round qualifying at the Cassis Challenger on hard court September 6. Covato carries a ranking of 753, while Raquillet sits at 662. The two have no prior head-to-head record.
Raquillet has won 4 of his last 10 matches; Covato has not won in his last 10. On hard courts over a recent sample, Raquillet has posted a 12-8 record while Covato has managed just 3 wins in 20 matches. Both players took losses to common opponent Jan Kumstat, though Raquillet defeated Adrien Berrut while Covato fell to him.
Covato relies heavily on serving and will need his first serve to create opportunities in baseline exchanges. Raquillet plays a physical baseline game and carries sustained pressure through rallies. On hard court, where Raquillet holds a 60% win rate compared to Covato's 15%, the match will test whether Covato's serve can neutralize Raquillet's court positioning and rally strength.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Raquillet | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leo Raquillet | Matteo Covato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 19/32 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 13/34 | 24% | 9/38 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 26/66 | 25% | 14/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 18/30 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 16/33 | 31% | 11/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 6/11 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 19/29 | 62% | 13/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Raquillet
⚔️ The Gladiator
Covato
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,037 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Covato.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Raquillet and Covato have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Raquillet | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leo Raquillet | Matteo Covato | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Raquillet | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 0–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 6.16 |
| ROI % | -40.3% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.24u | -10.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Raquillet | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 4 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SUI → FRA | SUI → GER → NED → ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Raquillet has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Covato's 0%).
| Opponent | Raquillet | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Adrien Berrut | W 46 63 60 | L 76 16 46 |
| Jan Kumstat | L 67 46 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lenny Couturier
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Matis Roche
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Benjamin Hassan
Sion Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Adrien Berrut
Sion Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Oskari Paldanius
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Georgii Kravchenko
Liberec Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Jan Kumstat
Bunschoten Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Lorenzo Giustino
Liege Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Fausto Tabacco
Como Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Luca Wiedenmann
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 26
Denis Yevseyev
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Adrien Berrut
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Oliver Sanders
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jesse Delaney
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Justin Schlageter
M25 Marburg · 1st Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–66 matches
| Metric | Raquillet | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 32% |
| Sets won | 49% | 36% |
| Games won | 51% | 45% |