Leo Raquillet vs Mathys ErhardPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Olbia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 5:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.25 or shorter, Mathys Erhard has won 17 of 21 (81%). That is level with the 81% the price implied.
At 3.63 or longer, Leo Raquillet has won 0 of 14 (0%). The price implied 20%, so Leo Raquillet has fallen 20 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Mathys Erhard and Leo Raquillet square off in the 3rd Round of Qualifying at the Olbia Challenger on October 12, a hard court event where both players carry mixed recent records. Erhard, ranked 373, leads their head-to-head 1-0 from their sole prior meeting. Raquillet sits at 710 and arrives having played just once in the past two weeks.
Over their recent hard court samples, Raquillet has posted a 13-7 record while Erhard sits at 11-9. Both players have won their opening matches at Olbia, though Erhard has cycled through three matches in fourteen days compared to Raquillet's more measured approach. In their last five outings, each player has converted two wins and three losses.
Erhard operates as a power-oriented player who relies on aggressive ball striking from the baseline. Raquillet brings a scrappier, more physical approach built around consistency and court coverage. On hard courts, Raquillet's record of 65% suggests steadier production, while Erhard's game demands conversion of offensive opportunities. The match will test whether Erhard's firepower can overcome Raquillet's willingness to extend rallies and dictate length.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Raquillet | Erhard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leo Raquillet | Mathys Erhard | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 19/30 | 65% | 26/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 35% | 12/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 22/61 | 35% | 26/74 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 19/30 | 46% | 17/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 12/28 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 44% | 16/36 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 79% | 30/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Raquillet
⚔️ The Gladiator
Erhard
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mathys Erhard.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Raquillet and Erhard have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Raquillet | Erhard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leo Raquillet | Mathys Erhard | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 65% | 13/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 20% | 4/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Raquillet | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -35.0% | +6.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.50u | +1.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Raquillet | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 461 mi · 742 km |
| Route | FRA | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Erhard has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Raquillet's 40%).
| Opponent | Raquillet | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Charles Broom | L 26 16 | W 62 67 61 |
| Matis Roche | W 60 62 | W 63 63 |
| Filip Jeff Planinsek | W 62 36 62 | L 62 57 36 |
| Jan Kumstat | L 67 46 | W 16 76 62 |
| Kilian Feldbausch | L 46 26 | L 67 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrian Boitan
Olbia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Cassis Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Matteo Covato
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Lenny Couturier
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Matis Roche
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Benjamin Hassan
Sion Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Adrien Berrut
Sion Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Lorenzo Rocco
Olbia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Oliver Tarvet
Villena Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Alberto Barroso Campos
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Paul Theate
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Patrick Zahraj
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Daniil Glinka
Cassis Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Benjamin Pietri
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–74 matches
| Metric | Raquillet | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 54% |
| Sets won | 49% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |