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Head-to-Head

Leo Raquillet vs Mathys ErhardPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Upcoming match

Tournament
Olbia Challenger
Level
ATP Challenger Tour
Round
3rd Round Qualifying
Surface
Hard
Date & time
October 12 · 5:30 AM ET

Book odds

Mathys Erhard1.281.25
Leo Raquillet3.423.63

Set spread

Erhard -1.51.76
Raquillet +1.51.93

Game spread

Erhard -4.51.97
Raquillet +4.51.74
ErhardClay-court specialist (67%)RaquilletHard-court specialist (71%)

Record at prices like this

Mathys Erhard1.25implies 81%won 81%level

At 1.25 or shorter, Mathys Erhard has won 17 of 21 (81%). That is level with the 81% the price implied.

Leo Raquillet3.63implies 20%won 0%−20 pts

At 3.63 or longer, Leo Raquillet has won 0 of 14 (0%). The price implied 20%, so Leo Raquillet has fallen 20 points short of it.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Mathys Erhard and Leo Raquillet square off in the 3rd Round of Qualifying at the Olbia Challenger on October 12, a hard court event where both players carry mixed recent records. Erhard, ranked 373, leads their head-to-head 1-0 from their sole prior meeting. Raquillet sits at 710 and arrives having played just once in the past two weeks.

Over their recent hard court samples, Raquillet has posted a 13-7 record while Erhard sits at 11-9. Both players have won their opening matches at Olbia, though Erhard has cycled through three matches in fourteen days compared to Raquillet's more measured approach. In their last five outings, each player has converted two wins and three losses.

Erhard operates as a power-oriented player who relies on aggressive ball striking from the baseline. Raquillet brings a scrappier, more physical approach built around consistency and court coverage. On hard courts, Raquillet's record of 65% suggests steadier production, while Erhard's game demands conversion of offensive opportunities. The match will test whether Erhard's firepower can overcome Raquillet's willingness to extend rallies and dictate length.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRaquilletErhard
Wins in straight sets63%65%
Wins a set when losing35%35%
Goes to a deciding set36%35%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite63%46%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog43%56%
Tiebreak sets won38%44%
Wins after taking set 185%79%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 170%68%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Raquillet

⚔️ The Gladiator

Physical intensityBalanced gameStrong in deciding setsCompetitive fighter
vs

Erhard

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mathys Erhard.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Raquillet and Erhard have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRaquilletErhard
1 or more100%100%
3 or more33%95%
5 or more0%65%
10 or more0%20%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRaquilletErhard
W-L4–612–7
Avg odds1.881.85
ROI %-35.0%+6.4%
Units P/L-3.50u+1.21u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRaquilletErhard
Countries11
Events12
Matches13
Distance0 mi · 0 km461 mi · 742 km
RouteFRAFRA

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Erhard has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Raquillet's 40%).

OpponentRaquilletErhard
Charles Broom
L
26
16
W
62
67
61
Matis Roche
W
60
62
W
63
63
Filip Jeff Planinsek
W
62
36
62
L
62
57
36
Jan Kumstat
L
67
46
W
16
76
62
Kilian Feldbausch
L
46
26
L
67
06

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Raquillet
WLLWLWLW
W

Adrian Boitan

Olbia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

46
64
64

Oct 11

L

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Rennes Challenger · 1st Round

16
46

Sep 15

L

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Cassis Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

16
36

Sep 7

W

Matteo Covato

Cassis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

62
62

Sep 6

L

Lenny Couturier

M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round

36
64
46

Aug 27

W

Matis Roche

M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round

60
62

Aug 25

L

Benjamin Hassan

Sion Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

36
62
57

Aug 17

W

Adrien Berrut

Sion Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

46
63
60

Aug 16

Erhard
WLLWLLWL
W

Lorenzo Rocco

Olbia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

64
764

Oct 11

L

Oliver Tarvet

Villena Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

46
36

Oct 4

L

Alberto Barroso Campos

Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

75
46
26

Sep 28

W

Paul Theate

Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

64
62

Sep 27

L

Patrick Zahraj

St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

64
57
697

Sep 20

L

Daniil Glinka

Cassis Challenger · 2nd Round

Sep 9

W

Benjamin Pietri

Cassis Challenger · 1st Round

63
64

Sep 8

L

Inaki Montes-De La Torre

Manacor Challenger · 1st Round

26
63
46

Sep 2

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–74 matches

MetricRaquilletErhard
Matches won49%54%
Sets won49%53%
Games won51%52%