Lea Nilsson vs Thea FrodinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lea Nilsson and Thea Frodin have met 1 time since 2026; Lea Nilsson leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nilsson has taken 2 sets to Frodin's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lea Nilsson won at W35 Ystad (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nilsson | Frodin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lea Nilsson | Thea Frodin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 19/23 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 7/14 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 11/37 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 14/24 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 55% | 6/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nilsson 1, Frodin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nilsson
⚔️ The Gladiator
Frodin
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thea Frodin.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 20, 2026
W35 Ystad
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nilsson | Frodin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lea Nilsson | Thea Frodin | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nilsson | Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | +2.5% | -20.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.32u | -1.02u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nilsson | Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR → DEN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Selena Janicijevic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 26
Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Dayeon Back
W50 Horb · Final
Jul 26
Charo Esquiva Banuls
W50 Horb · Semifinals
Jul 25
Francesca Parcelli
W50 Horb · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Margaux Rouvroy
W50 Horb · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Fiona Ganz
W50 Horb · 1st Round
Jul 22
Alicia Herrero Linana
W50 Darmstadt · 1st Round
Jul 15
Anastasia Kulikova
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lea Nilsson
W35 Ystad · Semifinals
Jun 20
Ida Wobker
W35 Ystad · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Camilla Zanolini
W35 Ystad · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Olga Golas
W35 Ystad · 1st Round
Jun 17
Eva Vedder
W100 Indian Harbour Beach · 1st Round
May 6
Akasha Urhobo
W100 Bonita Springs · 1st Round
Apr 29
Mary Stoiana
W100 Charlottesville · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–37 matches
| Metric | Nilsson | Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 52% |
| Sets won | 62% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nilsson | Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nilsson | Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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