Lea Nilsson vs Maria GolovinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇸🇪Lea Nilsson
#356 · 17 yrs · Left-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇷🇺Maria Golovina
#368 · 18 yrs
TitleLea Nilsson and Maria Golovina have met 1 time since 2026; Lea Nilsson leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nilsson has taken 2 sets to Golovina's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lea Nilsson won at W75 Kursumlijska Banja (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nilsson | Golovina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lea Nilsson | Maria Golovina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 23/28 | 85% | 40/47 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 9/18 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/46 | 21% | 15/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 58% | 26/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 78% | 7/9 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 83% | 40/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nilsson 1, Golovina 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nilsson
⚔️ The Gladiator
Golovina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 17, 2026
W75 Kursumlijska Banja
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nilsson | Golovina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lea Nilsson | Maria Golovina | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 3 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nilsson | Golovina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | -4.8% | +3.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.63u | +0.54u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nilsson | Golovina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | KAZ → ECU | BEL → FRA → ESP |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nilsson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Golovina's 50%).
| Opponent | Nilsson | Golovina |
|---|---|---|
| Francesca Parcelli | W 63 62 | L 46 16 |
| Jasmijn Gimbrere | W 63 64 | W 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Susan Bandecchi
W75 Quinta do Lago · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Petra Sedlackova
W75 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Sep 29
Elizabeth Jurna
W75 Quinta do Lago · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Lea Boskovic
W50 Yecla · 1st Round
Sep 22
Selena Janicijevic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 26
Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Maria Golovina
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Jana Bojovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Elena Micic
Samsun Open - Samsun · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Yuliya Hatouka
W35 Sharm ElSheikh · Final
Sep 27
Victoria Milovanova
W35 Sharm ElSheikh · Semifinals
Sep 26
Ulyana Hrabavets
W35 Sharm ElSheikh · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Hania Abouelsaad
W35 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anja Wildgruber
W35 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Ann Akasha Ceuca
W35 Hurghada · 1st Round
Sep 16
Anna Petkovic
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–71 matches
| Metric | Nilsson | Golovina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 66% |
| Sets won | 61% | 65% |
| Games won | 54% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nilsson | Golovina |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nilsson | Golovina |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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