Lea Nilsson vs Margaux RouvroyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇸🇪Lea Nilsson
#371 · 17 yrs · Left-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇫🇷Margaux Rouvroy
#340 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
4wLea Nilsson and Margaux Rouvroy have met 2 times since 2025; Lea Nilsson leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at W50 Funchal 1 in 2025 on hard. Nilsson has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nilsson has taken 4 sets to Rouvroy's 1. Their most recent meeting: Lea Nilsson won at W50 Horb (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nilsson | Rouvroy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lea Nilsson | Margaux Rouvroy | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 19/23 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 7/14 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 11/37 | 45% | 21/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 14/24 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nilsson 1, Rouvroy 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nilsson
⚔️ The Gladiator
Rouvroy
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 7,723 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
W50 Horb
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 14, 2025
W50 Funchal 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nilsson | Rouvroy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lea Nilsson | Margaux Rouvroy | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nilsson | Rouvroy |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 2.37 |
| ROI % | +2.5% | -18.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.32u | -1.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nilsson | Rouvroy |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR → DEN | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rouvroy has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Nilsson's 60%).
| Opponent | Nilsson | Rouvroy |
|---|---|---|
| Darya Astakhova | L 36 16 | L 46 46 |
| Francesca Parcelli | W 63 62 | W 62 64 |
| Yaroslava Bartashevich | W 76 63 | W 63 61 |
| Jasmijn Gimbrere | W 63 64 | W 75 26 76 |
| Haruka Kaji | L 67 16 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Selena Janicijevic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 26
Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Dayeon Back
W50 Horb · Final
Jul 26
Charo Esquiva Banuls
W50 Horb · Semifinals
Jul 25
Francesca Parcelli
W50 Horb · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Margaux Rouvroy
W50 Horb · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Fiona Ganz
W50 Horb · 1st Round
Jul 22
Alicia Herrero Linana
W50 Darmstadt · 1st Round
Jul 15
Sofya Lansere
W75 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 5
Alice Rame
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Lola Radivojevic
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lea Nilsson
W50 Horb · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Sohyun Park
W50 Horb · 1st Round
Jul 22
Dalila Jakupovic
Kitzbühel WTA
Jul 12
Alevtina Ibragimova
W75 Blois · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jenny Lim
W35 Nice · 1st Round
Jun 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–47 matches
| Metric | Nilsson | Rouvroy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 55% |
| Sets won | 62% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nilsson | Rouvroy |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W50 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nilsson | Rouvroy |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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