Lea Ma vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lea Ma and Tatjana Maria have met 1 time since 2026; Tatjana Maria leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ma has taken 0 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at W100 Templeton (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ma | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lea Ma | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 20/30 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 6/24 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 16/54 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 17/29 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 9/21 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 20/31 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ma 0, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ma
💥 Big Hitter
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Lea Ma and Tatjana Maria are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
W100 Templeton
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ma | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lea Ma | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ma | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -37.7% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.77u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ma | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TUR → UKR | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Ma's 33%).
| Opponent | Ma | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Brengle | L 67 26 | W 63 64 |
| Malaika Rapolu | W 75 63 | W 60 63 |
| Iryna Shymanovich | L | W 76 62 |
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | L 26 36 | W 62 61 |
| Unknown Player | W 64 61 | W 61 67 64 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 57 26 | L 46 63 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Brengle
W50 Lexington · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Hina Inoue
W50 Lexington · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Linea Bajraliu
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 6
Tatjana Maria
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Victoria Hu
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Iryna Shymanovich
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Katarina Zavatska
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 12
Reese Brantmeier
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 5
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–60 matches
| Metric | Ma | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 53% |
| Sets won | 53% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ma | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W100 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ma | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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