Lea Ma vs Madison BrenglePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lea Ma and Madison Brengle have met 3 times since 2025; Madison Brengle leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at W35 San Rafael 1 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Brengle leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Ma leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Ma has taken 2 sets to Brengle's 4. Their most recent meeting: Madison Brengle won at W50 Lexington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ma | Brengle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lea Ma | Madison Brengle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 21/31 | 77% | 36/47 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 6/24 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 32% | 24/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 18/30 | 57% | 26/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 9/21 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 90% | 45/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 72% | 36/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ma 1, Brengle 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ma
💥 Big Hitter
Brengle
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lea Ma.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2026
W50 Lexington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 14, 2026
W35 Decatur
H Hard · Final
Oct 4, 2025
W35 San Rafael 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ma | Brengle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lea Ma | Madison Brengle | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 3 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ma | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -37.7% | -9.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.77u | -1.54u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ma | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 12 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TUR → UKR | USA → TUR → UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ma has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Brengle's 70%).
| Opponent | Ma | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Tatjana Maria | L 16 26 | L 36 46 |
| Julieta Pareja | W 64 76 | W 61 76 |
| Victoria Hu | W 62 64 | W 64 46 63 |
| Maya Iyengar | W 62 36 62 | W 61 63 |
| Elvina Kalieva | W 64 26 61 | L 26 06 |
| Amelia Honer | W 62 46 60 | L |
| Malaika Rapolu | W 75 63 | W 63 63 |
| Unknown Player | W 64 61 | W 64 67 63 |
| Lina Glushko | W 64 26 61 | W 60 63 |
| Dana Guzman | L 46 61 26 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Brengle
W50 Lexington · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Hina Inoue
W50 Lexington · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Linea Bajraliu
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 6
Tatjana Maria
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Victoria Hu
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Iryna Shymanovich
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Katarina Zavatska
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 12
Reese Brantmeier
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 5
Astra Sharma
W50 Lexington · Semifinals
Oct 10
Lea Ma
W50 Lexington · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Aspen Schuman
W50 Lexington · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Mckenna Schaefbauer
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Julieta Pareja
W100 Templeton · Semifinals
Oct 4
Tatjana Maria
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Amelie Van Impe
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Arianna Zucchini
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–75 matches
| Metric | Ma | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 63% |
| Sets won | 54% | 61% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ma | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF W50 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W35 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ma | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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