Laurin Aerne vs Mathys PicardPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Laurin Aerne and Mathys Picard have met 2 times since 2026; Mathys Picard leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Uriage in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Picard leads 2–0. Picard has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Aerne has taken 0 sets to Picard's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mathys Picard won at M25 Uriage (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Aerne | Picard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Laurin Aerne | Mathys Picard | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 1/1 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 3/9 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 3/10 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 50% | 7/14 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 2/6 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Aerne 0, Picard 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Aerne
⚙️ Grinder
Picard
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 233 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 15, 2026
M25 Uriage
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 14, 2026
M25 Uriage
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Aerne | Picard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Laurin Aerne | Mathys Picard | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 1/1 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Aerne | Picard |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–4 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.14 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +13.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.00u | +1.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Picard has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Aerne's 0%).
| Opponent | Aerne | Picard |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Biciusca Meinertz | L 16 62 810 | W 75 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 1st Round
Aug 25
Nicola Senn
M25 Ueberlingen · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Thomas George Brun
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Adrien Burdet
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Andre Biciusca Meinertz
M25 Gentofte · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Mathys Picard
M25 Uriage · 1st Round
Jul 15
Mathys Picard
M25 Uriage · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 14
Antoine Mayoral
M25 Uriage · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Kris Van Wyk
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Viktor Frydrych
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Maxime Chazal
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Oct 6
Daniel Domingos
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 16
Noah Boutleux
M25 Plaisir · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Sacha Grandvincent
M25 Plaisir · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Fares Zakaria
M25+H Bagneres-de-Bigorre · 1st Round
Sep 2
Loan Lestir
M15 Rognac · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–39 matches
| Metric | Aerne | Picard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 10% | 54% |
| Sets won | 22% | 53% |
| Games won | 42% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Aerne | Picard |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Aerne | Picard |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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