Laurent Lokoli vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola MordiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Laurent Lokoli
#434 · 31 yrs · R
5Title1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇮🇹Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
#1163 · 20 yrs
5Laurent Lokoli and Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini have met 1 time since 2026; Laurent Lokoli leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lokoli has taken 2 sets to Mordini's 0. Their most recent meeting: Laurent Lokoli won at M25 Lesa (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lokoli | Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Laurent Lokoli | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 22/54 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 17/31 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 28/34 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 60% | 3/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lokoli 1, Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lokoli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mordini
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Laurent Lokoli.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
M25 Lesa
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lokoli | Mordini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Laurent Lokoli | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
| 1 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 42% | 8/19 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 5 or more | 32% | 6/19 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lokoli | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–3 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.39 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | +8.3% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.66u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lokoli | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BEL → ITA | ITA → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Lokoli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mordini's 50%).
| Opponent | Lokoli | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Riu | W 61 61 | W 64 64 |
| Matthew William Donald | W 36 76 63 | L 67 63 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Samuele Seghetti
M25 Lesa · Semifinals
Aug 23
Pierluigi Basile
M25 Lesa · Final
Aug 23
Denis Constantin Spiridon
M25 Lesa · 2nd Round
Aug 22
Daniele Rapagnetta
M25 Lesa · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 19
Mickael Kaouk
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Martin Riu
M25 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 11
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M25 Bastia-Lucciana · Final
Jul 12
Jonas Gundacker
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 26
Laurent Lokoli
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 19
Marcello Serafini
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 3
Matthias Ujvary
M15 Wels · 1st Round
Jul 29
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
M15 Segrate · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Filippo Catalano
M15 Segrate · 1st Round
Jul 21
Filippo Catalano
M15 Segrate · 1st Round
Jul 21
Petros Tsitsipas
M15 Lodz · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–55 matches
| Metric | Lokoli | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 18% |
| Sets won | 60% | 26% |
| Games won | 54% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lokoli | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lokoli | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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