Laura Samson vs Noemi BasilettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Tolentino Open - Tolentino
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 21 · 2:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.31 or shorter, Laura Samson has won 13 of 16 (81%). The price implied 77%, so Laura Samson has beaten it by 4 points.
At 3.11 or longer, Noemi Basiletti has won 9 of 14 (64%). The price implied 25%, so Noemi Basiletti has beaten it by 39 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Laura Samson and Noemi Basiletti meet next at the Tolentino Open - Tolentino on September 21 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Samson | Basiletti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Laura Samson | Noemi Basiletti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 26/42 | 78% | 28/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 24/61 | 28% | 18/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 20/42 | 64% | 21/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 86% | 32/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 76% | 28/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samson
👑 The Complete Package
Basiletti
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,316 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Laura Samson.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Samson and Basiletti have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Samson | Basiletti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Laura Samson | Noemi Basiletti | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samson | Basiletti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 16–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| ROI % | -10.4% | +12.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | +2.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Samson | Basiletti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 4,222 mi · 6,794 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | NED → ESP | ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Samson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Basiletti's 40%).
| Opponent | Samson | Basiletti |
|---|---|---|
| Samira De Stefano | L 36 61 46 | L 63 36 67 |
| Mona Barthel | L 57 36 | L 46 06 |
| Anastasiia Sobolieva | W 64 61 | W 36 63 64 |
| Lola Radivojevic | W 63 36 75 | W 76 64 |
| Mia Ristic | W 76 46 62 | L 26 36 |
| Mina Hodzic | L 46 76 57 | L 36 62 26 |
| Raluka Serban | W 62 64 | W 64 61 |
| Darja Semenistaja | W 62 75 | L 67 26 |
| Varvara Lepchenko | W 63 75 | L 26 36 |
| Laura Mair | W 63 63 | W 60 57 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Samira De Stefano
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · Semifinals
Sep 19
Anastasiia Sobolieva
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Weronika Falkowska
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 15
Tamara Zidansek
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Mona Barthel
Polish Open - Warsaw · 1st Round
Aug 4
Kaitlin Quevedo
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Final
Aug 2
Lucia Bronzetti
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Semifinals
Aug 1
Mona Barthel
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · Semifinals
Sep 19
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Julie Struplova
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Lola Radivojevic
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 14
Barbora Palicova
W75 Koksijde · Final
Aug 9
Loes Ebeling Koning
W75 Koksijde · Semifinals
Aug 8
Martha Matoula
W75 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Jenny Lim
W75 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–64 matches
| Metric | Samson | Basiletti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 56% |
| Sets won | 63% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |