Laura Samson vs Mia RisticPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฟLaura Samson
#116 ยท 18 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4wTitle1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1
๐ท๐ธMia Ristic
#195 ยท 20 yrs
5TitleLaura Samson and Mia Ristic have met 1 time since 2026; Laura Samson leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Samson has taken 2 sets to Ristic's 1. Their most recent meeting: Laura Samson won at Axeria Open - Targu Mures (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Samson | Ristic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Laura Samson | Mia Ristic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/55 | 34% | 19/56 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 19/37 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 9/14 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 28/30 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Samson 0, Ristic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samson
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Ristic
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐น Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 31, 2026
Axeria Open - Targu Mures
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Samson | Ristic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Laura Samson | Mia Ristic | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 68% | 15/22 |
| 3 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 18% | 4/22 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 5% | 1/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Samson | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ6 | 17โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | +1.6% | +5.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.23u | +1.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Samson | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 424 mi ยท 682 km | โ |
| Route | MKD โ KAZ | FRA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Samson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Ristic's 60%).
| Opponent | Samson | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| Lisa Zaar | W 46 76 64 | W 36 63 76 |
| Darja Semenistaja | W 62 75 | W 62 63 |
| Mia Pohankova | L 67 64 36 | W 63 75 |
| Lola Radivojevic | W 63 36 75 | L 67 60 57 |
| Elena Ruxandra Bertea | W 61 62 | L 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mona Barthel
Polish Open - Warsaw ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Kaitlin Quevedo
Axeria Open - Targu Mures ยท Final
Aug 2
Lucia Bronzetti
Axeria Open - Targu Mures ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Mia Ristic
Axeria Open - Targu Mures ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alesia Breaz
Axeria Open - Targu Mures ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Maya Joint
Livesport Prague Open - Prague ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Gina Feistel
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Laura Pigossi
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Rositsa Dencheva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท Final
Aug 16
Matilde Paoletti
W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท Semifinals
Aug 15
Lisa Zaar
W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Zhibek Kulambayeva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13
Havah Kaur Kaler
W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Laura Samson
Axeria Open - Targu Mures ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
Axeria Open - Targu Mures ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Darja Semenistaja
Axeria Open - Targu Mures ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ56 matches
| Metric | Samson | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 61% |
| Sets won | 65% | 60% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Samson | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Samson | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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