Laura Pigossi vs Maria Lourdes CarlePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Laura Pigossi
#243 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
542 meetings · sets 2–2
🇦🇷Maria Lourdes Carle
#240 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Laura Pigossi and Maria Lourdes Carle have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Argentina Open - Buenos Aires in 2023 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pigossi leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pigossi has taken 2 sets to Carle's 2. Their most recent meeting: Maria Lourdes Carle won at Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Curitiba Open - Curitiba
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 27 · 10:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.62 or shorter, Maria Lourdes Carle has won 14 of 25 (56%). The price implied 64%, so Maria Lourdes Carle has fallen 8 points short of it.
At 2.08 or longer, Laura Pigossi has won 26 of 63 (41%). The price implied 37%, so Laura Pigossi has beaten it by 4 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Laura Pigossi and Maria Lourdes Carle meet next at the Curitiba Open - Curitiba on October 27 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pigossi | Lourdes Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Laura Pigossi | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 43% | 13/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/52 | 47% | 26/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 9/19 | 20% | 4/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 20/32 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 14/25 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pigossi 1, Lourdes Carle 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pigossi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Carle
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,908 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2026
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville
C Clay · 1st Round
Dec 3, 2023
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pigossi | Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Laura Pigossi | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| 1 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pigossi | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 1.63 |
| ROI % | +16.6% | -49.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.49u | -4.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pigossi | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → ESP → CZE | UKR → TUN → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pigossi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Carle's 43%).
| Opponent | Pigossi | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Nuria Brancaccio | L 06 46 | L 36 64 46 |
| Valeriya Strakhova | W 63 61 | W 64 62 |
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | L 16 75 36 | L 57 76 46 |
| Vendula Valdmannova | L 62 16 16 | L 36 36 |
| Fernanda Labrana | W 60 61 | W 75 60 |
| Camila Rodero | W 61 60 | W |
| Antonia Vergara Rivera | W 61 61 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuria Brancaccio
Mallorca Women's Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Oct 13
Lola Giza
W50 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 22
Vendula Valdmannova
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Despina Papamichail
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Berfu Cengiz
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · Final
Aug 2
Dominika Salkova
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · Semifinals
Aug 1
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Kristina Liutova
W100 Edmond · 1st Round
Oct 13
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W50 Lexington · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Valeriya Strakhova
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Nuria Brancaccio
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rositsa Dencheva
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Eva Vedder
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Gina Feistel
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–55 matches
| Metric | Pigossi | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 45% |
| Sets won | 46% | 46% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pigossi | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pigossi | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |