Lars Wagenaar vs Noah ThurnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lars Wagenaar and Noah Thurner have met 1 time since 2026; Noah Thurner leads 1–0. Across all meetings Wagenaar has taken 0 sets to Thurner's 2. Their most recent meeting: Noah Thurner won at M15 Lambermont (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Wagenaar | Thurner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lars Wagenaar | Noah Thurner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 3/3 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 20% | 5/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 3/14 | 22% | 8/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/4 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/2 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 3/5 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 3/5 | 64% | 9/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Wagenaar 0, Thurner 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Wagenaar
🏃 Pusher
Thurner
💥 Big Hitter
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 17, 2026
M15 Lambermont
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Wagenaar | Thurner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lars Wagenaar | Noah Thurner | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 2/4 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Wagenaar | Thurner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.58 | 2.87 |
| ROI % | -55.0% | -53.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.85u | -3.18u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Wagenaar | Thurner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | NED | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Thurner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Wagenaar's 0%).
| Opponent | Wagenaar | Thurner |
|---|---|---|
| Sep De Visser | L 36 36 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Batiste Guerra
M15 Forbach · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Dax Donders
M15 Haren · 1st Round
Sep 2
Noah Thurner
M15 Lambermont · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Idriss Haddouch
M15 Lambermont · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Sep De Visser
M25 Koksijde · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Lars Goran Verwerft
M15 Eupen · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Louis-Lou Langenaken
M15 Eupen · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Peetu Pohjola
M15 Uslar · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 14
Jordan Coudret
M15 Forbach · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Linus Lagerbohm
M15 Szczawno · 1st Round
Sep 1
Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Lambermont · 1st Round
Aug 19
Zian Vanderstappen
M15 Lambermont · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Lars Wagenaar
M15 Lambermont · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Jaron Held
M15 Trier · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Gregor Hausberger
M15 Bielsko Biala · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
David Petrofsky
M15 Bielsko Biala · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–37 matches
| Metric | Wagenaar | Thurner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 21% | 32% |
| Sets won | 29% | 35% |
| Games won | 40% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Wagenaar | Thurner |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Wagenaar | Thurner |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.