Lance Amaury Lage Castelan vs Matthew ThomsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lance Amaury Lage Castelan and Matthew Thomson have met 1 time since 2026; Matthew Thomson leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castelan has taken 1 sets to Thomson's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matthew Thomson won at M15 Huamantla (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Amaury Lage Castelan | Thomson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lance Amaury Lage Castelan | Matthew Thomson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 6/6 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 3/7 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 3/13 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 1/4 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 6/6 | 92% | 11/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 6/6 | 58% | 7/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Amaury Lage Castelan 0, Thomson 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelan
🏃 Pusher
Thomson
👑 The Complete Package
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
M15 Huamantla
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castelan | Thomson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lance Amaury Lage Castelan | Matthew Thomson | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 1/2 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 1/2 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 1/2 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelan | Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 8–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.98 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | -42.5% | +40.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.85u | +4.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Castelan and Thomson posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Castelan | Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Dagda Mireles | W 63 60 | L |
| Preston Brown | L 16 06 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matthew Thomson
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Darrshan Suresh
M15 Huamantla · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Ty Wunderlich
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Preston Brown
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 22
Marc Martin Roca
M15 Huamantla · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Nicolas Dagda Mireles
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Michael Blando
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 6
Benjamin O'Connell
M15 San Diego · 1st Round
Jul 1
Oliver Bonding
M15 Ann Arbor · 1st Round
Sep 30
Novak Novakovic
M15 Columbia · 1st Round
Sep 23
Thomas Nelson
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Elijah Strode
M15 Huamantla · Semifinals
Aug 1
Matt Kuhar
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Lance Amaury Lage Castelan
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · Final
Jul 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–24 matches
| Metric | Castelan | Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 58% |
| Sets won | 52% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelan | Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelan | Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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