Lance Amaury Lage Castelan vs Matthew ThomsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lance Amaury Lage Castelan and Matthew Thomson have met 1 time since 2026; Matthew Thomson leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castelan has taken 1 sets to Thomson's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matthew Thomson won at M15 Huamantla (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Amaury Lage Castelan | Thomson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lance Amaury Lage Castelan | Matthew Thomson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 30% | 3/10 | |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 2/4 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 2/4 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 25% | 2/8 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 88% | 7/8 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 38% | 3/8 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Amaury Lage Castelan 0, Thomson 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
M15 Huamantla
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelan | Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 9–3 |
| Avg odds | 6.81 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +47.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | +5.70u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castelan | Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Thomson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Castelan's 0%).
| Opponent | Castelan | Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Preston Brown | L 16 06 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matthew Thomson
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Preston Brown
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jeffrey Fradkin
M15 Villahermosa · Round of 32
Apr 29
Alejandro Hayen
M25 Xalapa · Round of 32
Apr 22
Elijah Strode
M15 Huamantla · Semifinals
Aug 1
Matt Kuhar
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Lance Amaury Lage Castelan
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · Final
Jul 26
Preston Brown
M15 Huamantla · Semifinals
Jul 25
Joaquin Guilleme
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Aditya Vishal Balsekar
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–21 matches
| Metric | Castelan | Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 0% | 48% |
| Sets won | 20% | 44% |
| Games won | 42% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelan | Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelan | Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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