Ksenia Smirnova vs Polina LeykinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ksenia Smirnova and Polina Leykina have met 1 time since 2026; Polina Leykina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smirnova has taken 0 sets to Leykina's 2. Their most recent meeting: Polina Leykina won at W35 Hillcrest (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smirnova | Leykina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ksenia Smirnova | Polina Leykina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 6/25 | 17% | 5/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 7/12 | 83% | 10/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 15/16 | 95% | 18/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 89% | 17/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smirnova 0, Leykina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smirnova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Leykina
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 60% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ksenia Smirnova.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 11, 2026
W35 Hillcrest
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smirnova | Leykina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ksenia Smirnova | Polina Leykina | ||
| 1 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smirnova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | +6.9% | +59.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.55u | +11.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smirnova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | SVK → TUN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Smirnova and Leykina posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Smirnova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| Valentina Khrebtova | W 64 61 | L 62 36 16 |
| Jenny Duerst | L 46 26 | W 75 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Astrid Cirotte
W15 Hillcrest · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Polina Leykina
W35 Hillcrest · Semifinals
Jul 11
Isabella Kruger
W35 Hillcrest · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Nelise Verster
W15 Hillcrest · 2nd Round
Jul 3
Jenny Duerst
W15 Hillcrest · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Valentina Khrebtova
W15 Hillcrest · 1st Round
Jun 30
Ann Akasha Ceuca
W15 Kayseri · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Mariia Bergen
W15 Kayseri · 1st Round
Jun 4
Sofia Shapatava
W35 Krakow · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Sandra Samir
W35 Krakow · 1st Round
Aug 18
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Bydgoszcz · 1st Round
Aug 12
Valentina Khrebtova
W15 Hillcrest · 1st Round
Jul 15
Jana Hossam Salah
W35 Hillcrest · Final
Jul 12
Ksenia Smirnova
W35 Hillcrest · Semifinals
Jul 11
Jenny Duerst
W35 Hillcrest · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Marilouise Van Zyl
W35 Hillcrest · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–30 matches
| Metric | Smirnova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 63% |
| Sets won | 63% | 63% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smirnova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smirnova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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