Ksenia Smirnova vs Polina LeykinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ksenia Smirnova and Polina Leykina have met 1 time since 2026; Polina Leykina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smirnova has taken 0 sets to Leykina's 2. Their most recent meeting: Polina Leykina won at W35 Hillcrest (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smirnova | Leykina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ksenia Smirnova | Polina Leykina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 16/21 | 95% | 19/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 3/10 | 22% | 4/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 8/31 | 13% | 5/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 9/14 | 86% | 12/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 91% | 20/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 86% | 19/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smirnova 0, Leykina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smirnova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Leykina
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 61% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,566 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ksenia Smirnova.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 11, 2026
W35 Hillcrest
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smirnova | Leykina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ksenia Smirnova | Polina Leykina | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smirnova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.93 | 3.42 |
| ROI % | -45.3% | -12.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.81u | -0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smirnova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | FRA → ROU | POL → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Smirnova and Leykina posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Smirnova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| Abigail Wheeler | W 61 62 | W 60 61 |
| Valentina Khrebtova | W 64 61 | L 62 36 16 |
| Jenny Duerst | L 46 26 | W 75 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuliya Hatouka
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Maddalena Giordano
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Nina Rudiukova
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
W35 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Joody Elkady
W35 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Astrid Cirotte
W15 Hillcrest · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dominika Podhajecka
W15 Hillcrest · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Emma Van Poppel
W15 Hillcrest · 1st Round
Jul 15
Wushuang Zheng
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 26
Xiao Tang
W15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yidi Yang
W35 Shenyang · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yingqun Sun
W35 Shenyang · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Shuyang Xu
W35 Shenyang · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Dabin Kim
W15 Yeongwol · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Jeong In Choi
W15 Yeongwol · 1st Round
Sep 8
Radka Zelnickova
W35 Krakow · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–38 matches
| Metric | Smirnova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 53% |
| Sets won | 65% | 54% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smirnova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smirnova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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