Ksenia Smirnova vs Mariia BergenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
π·πΊKsenia Smirnova
#725
6w1 meeting Β· sets 2β0
πΊπ¦Mariia Bergen
Unranked Β· 25 yrs
7wKsenia Smirnova and Mariia Bergen have met 1 time since 2026; Ksenia Smirnova leads 1β0. Across all meetings Smirnova has taken 2 sets to Bergen's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ksenia Smirnova won at W15 Kayseri (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smirnova | Bergen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ksenia Smirnova | Mariia Bergen | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 6/25 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 7/12 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 15/16 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 71% | 5/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smirnova 1, Bergen 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smirnova
πͺ Counterpuncher
Bergen
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Ksenia Smirnova and Mariia Bergen are πͺ Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 14,668 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 4, 2026
W15 Kayseri
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Smirnova | Bergen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β3 | 0β2 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 4.72 |
| ROI % | +6.9% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.55u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Smirnova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bergen's 50%).
| Opponent | Smirnova | Bergen |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasiya Krymkova | W 63 60 | W 62 75 |
| Selina Atay | W 76 16 63 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Astrid Cirotte
W15 Hillcrest Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Polina Leykina
W35 Hillcrest Β· Semifinals
Jul 11
Isabella Kruger
W35 Hillcrest Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Nelise Verster
W15 Hillcrest Β· 2nd Round
Jul 3
Jenny Duerst
W15 Hillcrest Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Valentina Khrebtova
W15 Hillcrest Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Ann Akasha Ceuca
W15 Kayseri Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Mariia Bergen
W15 Kayseri Β· 1st Round
Jun 4
Sara Mikaca
W15 Krsko Β· 1st Round
Jul 15
Stella Jurina
Krsko ITF
Jul 14
Alice Soulie
Krsko ITF
Jul 13
Ksenia Smirnova
W15 Kayseri Β· 1st Round
Jun 4
Selina Atay
W15 Kayseri Β· 2nd Round
May 29
Anastasiya Krymkova
W15 Kayseri Β· 1st Round
May 26
Anna Shkutova
W15 Monastir Β· Round of 32
Apr 29
Adithya Karunaratne
W15 Monastir Β· 1st Round
Apr 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 15β26 matches
| Metric | Smirnova | Bergen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 47% |
| Sets won | 63% | 45% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smirnova | Bergen |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smirnova | Bergen |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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