Ksenia Smirnova vs Maddalena GiordanoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ksenia Smirnova and Maddalena Giordano have met 1 time since 2026; Ksenia Smirnova leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smirnova has taken 2 sets to Giordano's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ksenia Smirnova won at W15 Sharm ElSheikh (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smirnova | Giordano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ksenia Smirnova | Maddalena Giordano | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 16/21 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 3/10 | 13% | 4/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 8/31 | 21% | 8/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 9/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smirnova 1, Giordano 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smirnova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Giordano
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 66% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 2,056 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ksenia Smirnova.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
W15 Sharm ElSheikh
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smirnova | Giordano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ksenia Smirnova | Maddalena Giordano | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smirnova | Giordano |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.93 | 6.01 |
| ROI % | -45.3% | -68.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.81u | -4.82u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smirnova | Giordano |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | FRA → ROU | KAZ → ROU → GER |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smirnova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Giordano's 33%).
| Opponent | Smirnova | Giordano |
|---|---|---|
| Maayan Laron | W 26 62 119 | L 36 36 |
| Joody Elkady | W 64 60 | W 26 75 62 |
| Dominika Podhajecka | W | L 46 06 |
| Abigail Wheeler | W 61 62 | W 61 62 |
| Demi Tran | L 16 36 | L 26 26 |
| Tia Messerli | W 62 26 62 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuliya Hatouka
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Maddalena Giordano
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Nina Rudiukova
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
W35 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Joody Elkady
W35 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Astrid Cirotte
W15 Hillcrest · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dominika Podhajecka
W15 Hillcrest · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Emma Van Poppel
W15 Hillcrest · 1st Round
Jul 15
Maayan Laron
W50 Heraklion · 1st Round
Oct 5
Ksenia Smirnova
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Manon Favier
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Chelsea Fontenel
W50 Yecla · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Noemi Maines
W15 Fiano Romano · 1st Round
Sep 1
Cristina Pescucci
W35 Verbier · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Berta Passola
W35 Verbier · 1st Round
Aug 19
Anastasiya Kuparev
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–39 matches
| Metric | Smirnova | Giordano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 21% |
| Sets won | 65% | 23% |
| Games won | 56% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smirnova | Giordano |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smirnova | Giordano |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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