Kristina Novak vs Matilde PaolettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇸🇮Kristina Novak
#648 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
31 meeting · sets 0–2
🇮🇹Matilde Paoletti
#718 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Kristina Novak and Matilde Paoletti have met 1 time since 2026; Matilde Paoletti leads 1–0. Across all meetings Novak has taken 0 sets to Paoletti's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matilde Paoletti won at W75 Kursumlijska Banja (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Novak | Paoletti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kristina Novak | Matilde Paoletti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 12/16 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 17/44 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 10/17 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 12/24 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 16/26 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 46% | 12/26 | 56% | 9/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Novak 0, Paoletti 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Novak
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paoletti
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 10, 2026
W75 Kursumlijska Banja
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Novak | Paoletti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kristina Novak | Matilde Paoletti | ||
| 1 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Novak | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.12 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | -45.2% | -7.9% |
| Units P/L | -6.33u | -1.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Novak | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → SUI → TUN → FRA | GER → MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Novak and Paoletti posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Novak | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Noemi Maines | W 63 67 75 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chris Werner
RoveretOpen Citta della Pace - Rovereto · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Isis Louise Van Den Broek
W35 Lagos · 1st Round
Oct 7
Nahia Berecoechea
W35 Baza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Meritxell Teixido Garcia
W35 Baza · 1st Round
Sep 30
Olga Parres Azcoitia
W35 Baza · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Helene Pellicano
W35 Baza · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Weronika Falkowska
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 15
Eleonora Alvisi
W15 Viserba di Rimini · 1st Round
Sep 9
Alessandra Mazzola
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Eva Bennemann
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Francesca Gandolfi
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alisa Oktiabreva
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Daria Yesypchuk
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Maria Toma
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 16
Marianne Argyrokastriti
W35 Reus · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Diletta Cherubini
W35 Reus · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–44 matches
| Metric | Novak | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 61% |
| Sets won | 43% | 59% |
| Games won | 48% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Novak | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Novak | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.