Kristina Kovgan vs Mathilde Ngijol CarrePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kristina Kovgan and Mathilde Ngijol Carre have met 1 time since 2026; Mathilde Ngijol Carre leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kovgan has taken 1 sets to Carre's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mathilde Ngijol Carre won at W15 Kursumlijska Banja (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovgan | Ngijol Carre | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kristina Kovgan | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 87% | 13/15 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 3/3 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovgan 0, Ngijol Carre 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovgan
⚙️ Grinder
Carre
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🧱 The Wall archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 990 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mathilde Ngijol Carre.
The Wall players often use elite returner and low unforced errors to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
W15 Kursumlijska Banja
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kovgan | Carre | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kristina Kovgan | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 1/1 | 67% | 2/3 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 33% | 1/3 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/3 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovgan | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 4.89 | 3.42 |
| ROI % | -27.5% | -14.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.55u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kovgan | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carre has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kovgan's 0%).
| Opponent | Kovgan | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Siyun Xiao | L 46 36 | W 64 76 |
| Ekaterina Agureeva | L 57 36 | W 62 67 104 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Siyun Xiao
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Ekaterina Agureeva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Federica Sacco
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 21
Alessia Antici
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Noemi La Cagnina
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 14
Patricia Rodriguez Carretero
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Patricia Rodriguez Carretero
Kursumlijska Banja 10 ITF · Q-1R
Jul 12
Stefani Webb
W15 Nashville · 1st Round
Sep 30
Charlotte Narti
W15 Nashville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Malwina Rowinska
W15 Nashville · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Maria Herazo
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 29
Maria Herazo
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 29
Ekaterina Agureeva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Gloria De Santis
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–30 matches
| Metric | Kovgan | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 56% |
| Sets won | 54% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovgan | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovgan | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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