Kosuke Ogura vs Ryuki MatsudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kosuke Ogura and Ryuki Matsuda have met 2 times since 2025; Ryuki Matsuda leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Matsuyama in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Matsuda leads 2–0. Matsuda has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ogura has taken 1 sets to Matsuda's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ryuki Matsuda won at M15 Luan (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ogura | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kosuke Ogura | Ryuki Matsuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 11/40 | 28% | 10/36 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 21/74 | 27% | 19/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 11/22 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 22/44 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 12/25 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 28/30 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 83% | 25/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ogura 0, Matsuda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ogura
🎾 All-Court
Matsuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 878 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 2, 2026
M15 Luan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 2, 2025
Matsuyama
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ogura | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kosuke Ogura | Ryuki Matsuda | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 96% | 26/27 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 52% | 14/27 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 22% | 6/27 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/27 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ogura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.17 | 2.32 |
| ROI % | -0.8% | +54.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.13u | +13.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ogura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | VIE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Matsuda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Ogura's 40%).
| Opponent | Ogura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Yuta Kikuchi | L 67 36 | L 26 36 |
| Yanki Erel | L 16 62 26 | W 64 64 |
| Taisei Ichikawa | W 61 62 | W 60 61 |
| Omar Jasika | L 36 36 | W 67 63 104 |
| Tzu-Yuan Tseng | W 61 63 | W 62 63 |
| Sanhui Shin | L 67 26 | W |
| Yuto Oki | W 62 61 | W 64 75 |
| Hayden Jones | W 75 64 | W 64 75 |
| Hikaru Shiraishi | L 76 67 06 | L 46 63 57 |
| Evan Zhu | L 46 36 | L 67 63 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuta Kikuchi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Ryuki Matsuda
M15 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Dong Ju Kim
M15 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Minghui Zhang
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Binda
Guangzhou Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Daisuke Sumizawa
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Seongchan Hong
M25 Sapporo · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Robin Catry
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 9
Yuta Kikuchi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Sergey Betov
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Nino Ehrenschneider
M15 Luan · Semifinals
Oct 3
Kosuke Ogura
M15 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Reiya Komagata
M15 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Zichen Shao
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Sep 29
Moise Kouame
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Taiyo Yamanaka
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–74 matches
| Metric | Ogura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 49% |
| Sets won | 47% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ogura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ogura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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