Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M15 Luan
- Level
- ITF M15
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 29 · 1:25 AM ET
Kosuke Ogura and Minghui Zhang meet in the 1st Round of the M15 Luan on September 29, a hard court event that marks the first encounter between the two players. Ogura, ranked 817, arrives after a 15-day layoff. Zhang comes in at 1469 following a match just 13 days prior.
The two have split results against common opponents. Ogura defeated Daisuke Sumizawa while Minghui Zhang fell to him; both players lost to Hiroki Moriya and Zhao Zhao. On hard courts, Zhang has posted a 12-8 record in a recent sample, while Ogura sits at 9-11 over the same stretch. Both players have dropped their last three or last one match respectively, arriving in Luan seeking to reset.
Minghui Zhang and Kosuke Ogura both operate as spoilers who rely on consistency and court sense rather than overpowering weapons. Zhang's hard court record suggests steadier recent play, but Ogura's win over Sumizawa shows he can beat quality opponents. The match will reward whoever can impose their serve and stay aggressive through rallies; both players prefer not to get dragged into extended baseline exchanges.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ogura | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kosuke Ogura | Minghui Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 23/32 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 11/38 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 20/70 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 10/20 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 21/42 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 11/23 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 27/29 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 67% | 4/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ogura
🛡️ The Spoiler
Zhang
🛡️ The Spoiler
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Ogura and Zhang have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ogura | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kosuke Ogura | Minghui Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 100% | 3/3 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 33% | 1/3 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/3 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ogura | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–10 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.38 | 3.32 |
| ROI % | -15.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.37u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ogura | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Ogura and Zhang posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Ogura | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Tzu-Yuan Tseng | W 61 63 | W 64 62 |
| Zhao Zhao | L 36 75 46 | L 46 64 57 |
| Jesse Delaney | W 60 64 | W 61 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Binda
Guangzhou Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Daisuke Sumizawa
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Seongchan Hong
M25 Sapporo · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Robin Catry
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 9
Yanki Erel
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Omar Jasika
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Tomohiro Masabayashi
M25 Taipei · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Tzu-Yuan Tseng
M25 Taipei · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Chase Ferguson
M25 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 16
Zhao Zhao
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 15
Masaki Ishikawa
M15 Wuning · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 7
Ryuichiro Nakano
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 6
Pol Shifer
M15 Wuning · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 1
Hao Sheng Koay
M15 Wuning · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Fateh Singh
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–70 matches
| Metric | Ogura | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 37% |
| Sets won | 47% | 41% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |