Koki Matsuda vs S D Prajwal DevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Koki Matsuda and S D Prajwal Dev have met 1 time since 2025; S D Prajwal Dev leads 1–0. Across all meetings Matsuda has taken 0 sets to Dev's 2. Their most recent meeting: S D Prajwal Dev won at M25 Bali 4 (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Matsuyama Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 8 · 8:10 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.42 or shorter, Koki Matsuda has won 24 of 29 (83%). The price implied 71%, so Koki Matsuda has beaten it by 12 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
S D Prajwal Dev meets Koki Matsuda in the 3rd Round Qualifying of the Matsuyama Challenger on November 8 on hard court. Dev sits at number 678 in the ATP rankings while Matsuda is ranked 457. The two have met once before, with Dev taking that encounter.
Dev has won 3 of his last 5 matches and stands at 50% over his last 10. Matsuda has won 2 of his last 5 and holds a 40% rate over the same span. Matsuda has played five times in the past two weeks compared to Dev's single match in that window. Both players carry identical hard court records at 8-12, 40% over a recent sample.
Dev operates as a counterpuncher who thrives on breaking down opponents from the baseline. Matsuda relies heavily on his serve to dictate play and build points. On hard court neither has established consistent success, and the match will hinge on whether Matsuda can generate enough pressure through his service games or if Dev can neutralize that attack and impose his rhythm from the back of the court.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Matsuda | D Prajwal Dev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Koki Matsuda | S D Prajwal Dev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 31/42 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 20/70 | 22% | 11/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 22/38 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 16/27 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 24/30 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 35/42 | 88% | 23/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 31/42 | 88% | 23/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Matsuda 0, D Prajwal Dev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Matsuda
🤖 Servebot
Dev
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,416 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Koki Matsuda.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 12, 2025
M25 Bali 4
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Matsuda | Dev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Koki Matsuda | S D Prajwal Dev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Matsuda | Dev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 0–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.67 | 3.43 |
| ROI % | -7.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.14u | -4.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Matsuda and Dev posted a 25% win rate.
| Opponent | Matsuda | Dev |
|---|---|---|
| Thanapet Chanta | W | L 67 67 |
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | L 36 26 | L 16 36 |
| Hiroki Moriya | L 64 46 06 | L 16 16 |
| Digvijaypratap Singh | L 64 46 57 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuki Mochizuki
Matsuyama Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 8
Kasidit Samrej
Taipei Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 1
Terence Atmane
Seoul Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Beibit Zhukayev
Seoul Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 26
Geun Jun Kim
Seoul Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Yi Zhou
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Omar Jasika
Guangzhou Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 19
Millen Hurrion
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Nitin Kumar Sinha
Matsuyama Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 8
Arnav Vijay Paparkar
M25 Mumbai · 1st Round
Oct 21
Thanapet Chanta
M25 Solapur · Quarterfinals
Oct 16
Arnav Vijay Paparkar
M25 Solapur · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Noah Schachter
M25 Solapur · 1st Round
Oct 14
Hunter Heck
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Thanh-Trung Hoang
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Benjamin O'Connell
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–71 matches
| Metric | Matsuda | Dev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 55% |
| Sets won | 58% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Matsuda | Dev |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Matsuda | Dev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |