Koki Matsuda vs Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Zhangjiagang Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 2 · 1:45 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.60 or shorter, Koki Matsuda has won 22 of 29 matches, 76% against a fair-price expectation of 67%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong meets Koki Matsuda in the 2nd Round of the Zhangjiajiang Challenger on September 2 on hard court. Matsuda, ranked 483, carries a three-match winning streak into the match after winning three times in fourteen days. Leong, ranked 551, arrives off a first-round victory but has won just two of his last five.
The two have never played. Matsuda has won 60% of his last ten matches and 65% on hard courts in recent play. Leong's hard court record stands at 70%, though his form has been uneven: he won six of ten matches overall but only two of five most recently.
Matsuda hits through the court aggressively and relies on pace; Leong prefers to construct points off the return and from the baseline, absorbing pace before redirecting. The surface suits both, but this match will hinge on whether Matsuda can sustain his attack without forced errors, and whether Leong's read of the ball remains sharp after limited court time.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Matsuda | Wei Kang Leong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Koki Matsuda | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 33/43 | 60% | 24/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 20/66 | 38% | 26/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 22/40 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 78% | 21/27 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 37/43 | 81% | 30/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 65% | 24/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Matsuda
💥 Big Hitter
Leong
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,277 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Matsuda and Leong have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Matsuda | Leong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Koki Matsuda | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 18/21 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 12/21 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 19% | 4/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Matsuda | Leong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–9 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 1.19 |
| ROI % | -5.9% | +19.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.35u | +0.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Matsuda | Leong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 4 |
| Distance | — | 2,801 mi · 4,508 km |
| Route | TUR → KAZ → TPE → CHN | KAZ → CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Leong has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Matsuda's 43%).
| Opponent | Matsuda | Leong |
|---|---|---|
| Karan Singh | W 64 64 | W 57 63 62 |
| Reiya Komagata | W 61 76 | W 75 67 76 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Thanapet Chanta | W 36 00 | L 46 16 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | L 36 26 | W 63 62 |
| S D Prajwal Dev | L 67 36 | W 61 63 |
| Marat Sharipov | L 36 67 | L 06 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jake Delaney
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Fanming Meng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Kaito Uesugi
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Chen Hui Ho
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Chih-Jen Ho
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Hayato Matsuoka
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Gijs Brouwer
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Paul Inchauspe
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Petr Bar Biryukov
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Dominik Palan
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Erik Arutiunian
Astana Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Yerassyl Yerdilda
Astana Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Dan Added
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
Arda Azkara
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 12
Luca Castelnuovo
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 67–69 matches
| Metric | Matsuda | Leong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 59% |
| Sets won | 63% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |