Kimberly Birrell vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Kimberly Birrell
#69 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
42 meetings · sets 2–3
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Kimberly Birrell and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Hana Bank Korea Open - Seoul in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Birrell has taken 2 sets to Maria's 3. Their most recent meeting: Kimberly Birrell won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Birrell | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kimberly Birrell | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 21/50 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 9/25 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 7/19 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 15/24 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Birrell 0, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Birrell
💥 Big Hitter
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Kimberly Birrell and Tatjana Maria are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 15, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 21, 2022
Hana Bank Korea Open - Seoul
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Birrell | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kimberly Birrell | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Birrell | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–9 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.85 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -5.11u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Birrell | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Birrell's 0%).
| Opponent | Birrell | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Rakhimova | L 26 26 | W 64 63 |
| Viktorija Golubic | L 67 46 | L 36 36 |
| Yexin Ma | L 67 46 | W 61 67 64 |
| Talia Gibson | L 46 63 36 | W 60 63 |
| Katie Volynets | L 62 46 67 | W 62 64 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 46 | L 26 06 |
| Petra Marcinko | L 16 46 | L 36 57 |
| Janice Tjen | L 46 36 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 26 | L 76 57 06 |
| Magda Linette | L 62 16 26 | W 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Darja Vidmanova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 2
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Sorana Cirstea
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Alina Korneeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Petra Marcinko
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Barbora Krejcikova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–60 matches
| Metric | Birrell | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 50% |
| Sets won | 51% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Birrell | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Birrell | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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