Kimberly Birrell vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Kimberly Birrell
#40 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Title2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleKimberly Birrell and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Hana Bank Korea Open - Seoul in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Birrell has taken 2 sets to Maria's 3. Their most recent meeting: Kimberly Birrell won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Birrell | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kimberly Birrell | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 22/37 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 26/63 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 18/29 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 9/20 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Birrell 0, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Birrell
🏹 Frontrunner
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 15, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 21, 2022
Hana Bank Korea Open - Seoul
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Birrell | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kimberly Birrell | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Birrell | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.63u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Birrell | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU | UKR → TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Birrell has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Maria's 50%).
| Opponent | Birrell | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Marie Bouzkova | L 46 46 | L 57 06 |
| Lea Ma | W 75 62 | W 61 62 |
| Anna Bondar | W 75 26 61 | L 67 57 |
| Katie Volynets | W 26 62 75 | W 62 64 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 16 61 63 | L 76 26 36 |
| Petra Marcinko | W 36 76 63 | L 36 57 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | L 26 26 | W 64 63 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 62 62 | L 46 46 |
| Yexin Ma | L 67 46 | W 61 67 64 |
| Talia Gibson | L 46 63 36 | W 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marie Bouzkova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aoi Ito
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Maya Joint
Korea Open - Seoul · Final
Sep 27
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul · Semifinals
Sep 26
Katie Volynets
Korea Open - Seoul · Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Ye Xin Ma
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Tamara Zidansek
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–63 matches
| Metric | Birrell | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 53% |
| Sets won | 56% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Birrell | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Birrell | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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