Kentaro Otsuka vs Koki MatsudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kentaro Otsuka and Koki Matsuda have met 1 time since 2026; Koki Matsuda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Otsuka has taken 0 sets to Matsuda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Koki Matsuda won at M15 Karuizawa (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Otsuka | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kentaro Otsuka | Koki Matsuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 2/3 | 73% | 30/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 1/7 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 2/10 | 31% | 21/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/4 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 3/4 | 85% | 34/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 2/4 | 75% | 30/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Otsuka 0, Matsuda 1).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 28, 2026
M15 Karuizawa
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Otsuka | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.30 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Otsuka | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 1,420 mi · 2,285 km |
| Route | — | VIE → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Matsuda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Otsuka's 0%).
| Opponent | Otsuka | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Yuta Tomida | L 26 57 | W 61 63 |
| Yuta Tomida | L 26 36 | W 61 63 |
| Yusuke Kusuhara | L 46 16 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kaede Katayama
M25 Sapporo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Keisuke Yagi
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Taketo Takamisawa
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 6
Koki Matsuda
M15 Karuizawa · 2nd Round
May 28
Aryan Jit Singh
M15 Karuizawa · 1st Round
May 26
Gai Ando
M15 Karuizawa · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 25
Taichi Nakajima
M15 Karuizawa · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Yuta Tomida
M15 Kashiwa 1 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 30
Evan Zhu
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Arthur Weber
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Philip Sekulic
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Martin Borisiouk
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jake Delaney
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Fanming Meng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–68 matches
| Metric | Otsuka | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 30% | 62% |
| Sets won | 32% | 59% |
| Games won | 44% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Otsuka | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Otsuka | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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