Kelsey Stevenson vs Ren NakamuraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kelsey Stevenson and Ren Nakamura have met 1 time since 2024; Kelsey Stevenson leads 1–0. Across all meetings Stevenson has taken 2 sets to Nakamura's 0. Their most recent meeting: Kelsey Stevenson won at Kigali 2 (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Stevenson | Nakamura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kelsey Stevenson | Ren Nakamura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 40% | 2/5 | |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 1/2 | 0% | 0/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 1/2 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 67% | 2/3 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 0% | 0/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 100% | 1/1 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 100% | 4/4 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 50% | 2/4 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Stevenson 1, Nakamura 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stevenson
🎯 Baseliner
Nakamura
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kelsey Stevenson.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 3, 2024
Kigali 2
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stevenson | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 6.37 |
| ROI % | - | -75.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Stevenson | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ben Jones
Manama 2 · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 23
Aziz Ouakaa
Soma Bay · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 16
Franco Agamenone
Kigali 1 · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 23
Keegan Smith
Sioux Falls · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 20
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lincoln · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Ryuki Matsuda
Kachreti · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Franco Roncadelli
Florianopolis · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 31
Akram El Sallaly
Kigali 2 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 4
Kristjan Tamm
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 22
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Taketo Takamisawa
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Rin Kojima
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Ryota Tanuma
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Jonathan Irwanto
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
M15 Villahermosa · Round of 32
Apr 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 2–15 matches
| Metric | Stevenson | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 0% | 33% |
| Sets won | 20% | 30% |
| Games won | 39% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Stevenson | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Stevenson | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.