Kelly Keller vs Lucciana Perez AlarconPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kelly Keller and Lucciana Perez Alarcon have met 1 time since 2026; Lucciana Perez Alarcon leads 1–0. Across all meetings Keller has taken 0 sets to Alarcon's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lucciana Perez Alarcon won at W100 Templeton (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keller | Perez Alarcon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kelly Keller | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 10/16 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 7% | 1/14 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/30 | 22% | 11/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 2/5 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 12/13 | 95% | 36/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 84% | 32/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keller 0, Perez Alarcon 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keller
⚔️ The Gladiator
Alarcon
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Kelly Keller and Lucciana Perez Alarcon are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,502 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 28, 2026
W100 Templeton
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keller | Alarcon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kelly Keller | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | ||
| 1 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 40% | 10/25 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 12% | 3/25 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keller | Alarcon |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 14–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.05 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -20.3% | -5.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.83u | -1.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keller | Alarcon |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 9 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BEL → TUR | USA → TUR → UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Alarcon's 33%).
| Opponent | Keller | Alarcon |
|---|---|---|
| Yulia Zhytelna | W 76 60 | L |
| Luna Maria Cinalli | L 57 36 | W 62 61 |
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | W 61 62 | L 36 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Anastasia Lizunova
W35 Hurghada · 1st Round
Sep 16
Kamilla Bartone
W35 Hurghada · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Maria Charl
W35 Hurghada · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Andrea Roots
W15 Hurghada · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 8
Viktoria Kurz
W15 Hurghada · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Johanna Silva
W15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Kristina Belkova
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 2
Unknown Player
W50 Lexington · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Maria Lourdes Carle
W50 Lexington · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Mia Slama
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Tatjana Maria
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mayu Crossley
W100 Templeton · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Kelly Keller
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Janae Preston
W50 Berkeley · Semifinals
Sep 26
Emma Kamper
W50 Berkeley · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–49 matches
| Metric | Keller | Alarcon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 73% |
| Sets won | 49% | 72% |
| Games won | 49% | 61% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keller | Alarcon |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W100 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keller | Alarcon |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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