Keisuke Saitoh vs Yanki ErelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Urayasu
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 3 · 10:35 PM ET
Yanki Erel meets Keisuke Saitoh in the quarterfinals of the M25 Urayasu on September 3rd, a hard court event that marks the Turkish player's fifth match in two weeks. Erel sits at number 305 in the rankings; Saitoh, ranked 672, has moved through the draw from a lower seeding. The two have never played.
Erel arrives in sharp form, winning 4 of his last 5 matches and holding a 16-4 record on hard courts over his recent sample. Saitoh has struggled more lately, taking just 2 of his last 5, though he holds a 14-6 hard court mark and owns a win over common opponent Petr Nesterov. Both men have played since yesterday, and Erel has compressed his schedule significantly in the past fortnight.
Both Erel and Saitoh construct points by reading and reacting rather than dictating from the baseline. Saitoh's recent dip in consistency means he will need to sustain the level that produced a win over Nesterov. Keisuke Saitoh must also contend with Erel's current form and momentum, while Yanki Erel must manage the fatigue of back-to-back tournaments and maintain the tempo that has carried his winning streak.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Saitoh | Erel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keisuke Saitoh | Yanki Erel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 29/42 | 75% | 42/56 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 3/23 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 16/65 | 28% | 20/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 16/29 | 54% | 32/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 16/26 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 10/17 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 36/37 | 91% | 48/53 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 29/37 | 79% | 42/53 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Saitoh
🪃 Counterpuncher
Erel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Keisuke Saitoh and Yanki Erel are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,946 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Saitoh and Erel have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Saitoh | Erel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keisuke Saitoh | Yanki Erel | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 75% | 15/20 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 55% | 11/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Saitoh | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | -12.4% | +0.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.24u | +0.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Saitoh | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE → JPN | TPE → JPN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Saitoh and Erel posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Saitoh | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Kosuke Ogura | W 76 46 75 | W 61 26 62 |
| Petr Nesterov | W 64 46 76 | L 62 46 57 |
| Koki Matsuda | L 57 75 46 | W 36 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chase Ferguson
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Sena Okabe
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 1
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Tsung-Hao Huang
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali · Semifinals
Aug 1
Sanhui Shin
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yuto Oki
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Luca Castelnuovo
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hikaru Shiraishi
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Kokoro Isomura
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Denis Yevseyev
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Paul Inchauspe
Samsun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Radu Albot
Samsun Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–71 matches
| Metric | Saitoh | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 79% |
| Sets won | 60% | 73% |
| Games won | 53% | 60% |