Keisuke Saitoh vs Ren NakamuraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keisuke Saitoh and Ren Nakamura have met 1 time since 2026; Keisuke Saitoh leads 1–0. Across all meetings Saitoh has taken 2 sets to Nakamura's 0. Their most recent meeting: Keisuke Saitoh won at M15 Bali (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Saitoh | Nakamura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keisuke Saitoh | Ren Nakamura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 27/40 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 3/24 | 0% | 0/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 16/64 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 16/27 | 0% | 0/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 34/35 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 27/35 | 50% | 2/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Saitoh 1, Nakamura 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Saitoh
🪃 Counterpuncher
Nakamura
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 22, 2026
M15 Bali
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Saitoh | Nakamura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keisuke Saitoh | Ren Nakamura | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 2/2 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/2 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Saitoh | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 6.37 |
| ROI % | -24.9% | -75.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | -3.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Saitoh | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | INA → TPE | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Saitoh has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Nakamura's 33%).
| Opponent | Saitoh | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| Rafalentino Ali Da Costa | W 76 76 | W 61 60 |
| Joshua Charlton | W 63 75 | L 36 36 |
| Koki Matsuda | L 57 75 46 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Tsung-Hao Huang
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali · Semifinals
Aug 1
Sanhui Shin
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daniel Bagnolini
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Chang
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Kristjan Tamm
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 22
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Taketo Takamisawa
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Rin Kojima
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Ryota Tanuma
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Jonathan Irwanto
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
M15 Villahermosa · Round of 32
Apr 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–64 matches
| Metric | Saitoh | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 33% |
| Sets won | 58% | 30% |
| Games won | 53% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Saitoh | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Saitoh | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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