Keisuke Saitoh vs Petr NesterovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keisuke Saitoh and Petr Nesterov have met 1 time since 2026; Keisuke Saitoh leads 1–0. Across all meetings Saitoh has taken 2 sets to Nesterov's 1. Their most recent meeting: Keisuke Saitoh won at M15 Monastir 1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Saitoh | Nesterov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keisuke Saitoh | Petr Nesterov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 64% | 43/67 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 3/24 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 16/65 | 37% | 34/93 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 47% | 28/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 16/26 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 10/17 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 35/36 | 95% | 55/58 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 74% | 43/58 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Saitoh 0, Nesterov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Saitoh
🪃 Counterpuncher
Nesterov
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,951 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 22, 2026
M15 Monastir 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Saitoh | Nesterov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keisuke Saitoh | Petr Nesterov | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 82% | 18/22 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 55% | 12/22 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 14% | 3/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Saitoh | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 16–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -21.9% | +15.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.97u | +3.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Saitoh | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE | BUL → SUI → BUL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Saitoh and Nesterov posted a 75% win rate.
| Opponent | Saitoh | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Sena Okabe | W 61 64 | W 62 75 |
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | L 16 46 | L 76 67 36 |
| Daniel Bagnolini | W 62 62 | W 60 67 63 |
| Egor Agafonov | W 75 75 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sena Okabe
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 1
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Tsung-Hao Huang
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali · Semifinals
Aug 1
Sanhui Shin
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daniel Bagnolini
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Yanaki Milev
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 12
Gabriele Piraino
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Radu Mihai Papoe
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Adrian Andreev
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Sebastian Sorger
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Lorenzo Angelini
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Gentofte · Final
Aug 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–93 matches
| Metric | Saitoh | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 72% |
| Sets won | 58% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Saitoh | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Saitoh | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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