Keisuke Saitoh vs Matthew DellavedovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Keisuke Saitoh
#668 · 25 yrs · L
32 meetings · sets 2–2
🇦🇺Matthew Dellavedova
#299 · 26 yrs · R
4TitleKeisuke Saitoh and Matthew Dellavedova have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Gimcheon in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Saitoh has taken 2 sets to Dellavedova's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matthew Dellavedova won at M25 Taipei (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Saitoh | Dellavedova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keisuke Saitoh | Matthew Dellavedova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 27/40 | 83% | 78/94 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 3/24 | 32% | 12/38 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 16/64 | 21% | 28/132 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 66% | 53/80 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 16/27 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 34/35 | 94% | 84/89 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 27/35 | 88% | 78/89 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Saitoh 1, Dellavedova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Saitoh
🪃 Counterpuncher
Dellavedova
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 458 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matthew Dellavedova.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
M25 Taipei
H Hard · 1st Round
May 20, 2026
M15 Gimcheon
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Saitoh | Dellavedova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keisuke Saitoh | Matthew Dellavedova | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 92% | 47/51 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 43% | 22/51 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 18% | 9/51 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 4% | 2/51 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/51 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/51 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Saitoh | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 44–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 1.43 |
| ROI % | -24.9% | +13.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | +6.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Saitoh | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 5 |
| Matches | 3 | 18 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | INA → TPE | AUS → CHN → TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Dellavedova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Saitoh's 80%).
| Opponent | Saitoh | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| Tai Sach | W 75 60 | W 62 62 |
| Kosuke Ogura | W 76 46 75 | L 63 67 46 |
| Shinji Hazawa | W 63 61 | W 64 16 76 |
| Isaac Becroft | W 62 76 | W 63 62 |
| Rafalentino Ali Da Costa | W 76 76 | W 67 63 62 |
| Sanhui Shin | W 67 60 75 | W 63 64 |
| Koki Matsuda | L 57 75 46 | W 63 64 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | L 67 06 | W 75 63 |
| Yuta Kawahashi | W 46 64 62 | W 62 62 |
| Joshua Charlton | W 63 75 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Tsung-Hao Huang
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali · Semifinals
Aug 1
Sanhui Shin
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daniel Bagnolini
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Chang
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Kasidit Samrej
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 29
Kristjan Tamm
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Tai Sach
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Keisuke Saitoh
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Yu Hsiou Hsu
M25 Taipei · Final
Aug 23
Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 22
Tai Sach
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–132 matches
| Metric | Saitoh | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 71% |
| Sets won | 58% | 68% |
| Games won | 53% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Saitoh | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Saitoh | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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