Keisuke Saitoh vs Kosuke OguraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keisuke Saitoh and Kosuke Ogura have met 1 time since 2026; Keisuke Saitoh leads 1–0. Across all meetings Saitoh has taken 2 sets to Ogura's 1. Their most recent meeting: Keisuke Saitoh won at M15 Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Saitoh | Ogura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keisuke Saitoh | Kosuke Ogura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 27/40 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 3/24 | 24% | 9/38 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 16/64 | 26% | 17/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 16/27 | 45% | 18/40 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 34/35 | 93% | 25/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 27/35 | 74% | 20/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Saitoh 0, Ogura 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Saitoh
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ogura
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 17, 2026
M15 Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Saitoh | Ogura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keisuke Saitoh | Kosuke Ogura | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Saitoh | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 6–11 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 3.04 |
| ROI % | -24.9% | +6.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | +1.02u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Saitoh | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | INA → TPE | CHN → TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Saitoh and Ogura posted a 38% win rate.
| Opponent | Saitoh | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Dellavedova | L 16 26 | W 36 76 64 |
| Sanhui Shin | W 67 60 75 | L 67 26 |
| Rafalentino Ali Da Costa | W 76 76 | L 36 26 |
| Masamichi Imamura | L 36 36 | W 64 61 |
| Moerani Bouzige | L 67 46 | L 67 46 |
| Matthew Summers | L 57 36 | L 16 67 |
| Emile Hudd | L 46 46 | L 46 64 67 |
| Yuta Kawahashi | W 46 64 62 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Tsung-Hao Huang
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali · Semifinals
Aug 1
Sanhui Shin
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daniel Bagnolini
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Chang
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Omar Jasika
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Hiroki Moriya
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 20
Omar Jasika
M15 Tianjin · Final
Aug 16
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tianjin · Semifinals
Aug 15
Duckhee Lee
M15 Tianjin · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Taiki Takizawa
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jeremy Beale
M25 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 15
Jeremy Beale
Futures 2026
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–66 matches
| Metric | Saitoh | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 42% |
| Sets won | 58% | 44% |
| Games won | 53% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Saitoh | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Saitoh | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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