Kei Nishikori vs Yibing WuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Yibing Wu have met 2 times since 2018; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai in 2018 on hard. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 3 sets to Wu's 3. Their most recent meeting: Yibing Wu won at Sarasota Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Yibing Wu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 10/21 | 17% | 7/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 96% | 24/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | 84% | 21/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 0, Wu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Wu
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 307 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 9, 2026
Sarasota Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 9, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nishikori | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kei Nishikori | Yibing Wu | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 3.28 |
| ROI % | -15.7% | -22.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | -2.03u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | JPN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Wu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Nishikori's 50%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Zheng | L 36 16 | W 63 76 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 46 67 | W 75 61 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 16 75 | L 36 46 |
| Colton Smith | W 62 63 | W 75 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alexander Zverev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Michael Zheng
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
James Duckworth
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Francisco Comesana
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Mackenzie McDonald
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–49 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 57% |
| Sets won | 50% | 57% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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