Kei Nishikori vs Pierre-Hugues HerbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Pierre-Hugues Herbert have met 4 times since 2016; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Nishikori leads 2–1. Herbert has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 4 sets to Herbert's 5. Their most recent meeting: Pierre-Hugues Herbert won at Open 13 Provence - Marseille (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Herbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Pierre-Hugues Herbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 10/21 | 39% | 15/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 1, Herbert 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Herbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pierre-Hugues Herbert.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2021
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 7, 2019
Rotterdam
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 25, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nishikori | Herbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kei Nishikori | Pierre-Hugues Herbert | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 50% | 1/2 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 50% | 1/2 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 50% | 1/2 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/2 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -15.7% | -57.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | -2.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | JPN | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Nishikori and Herbert posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Nishikori | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Ofner | W 61 26 62 | L 46 67 |
| Kaichi Uchida | L 26 26 | W 64 64 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 63 46 26 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Quinn Vandecasteele
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Kenta Miyoshi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Sandro Kopp
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 18
Thiago Monteiro
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 11
Edas Butvilas
Bundesliga - men
Jul 5
Paul Jubb
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–39 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 44% |
| Sets won | 50% | 46% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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