Kei Nishikori vs Paolo LorenziPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Paolo Lorenzi have met 1 time since 2016; Kei Nishikori leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 2 sets to Lorenzi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Basel (2016).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Lorenzi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Paolo Lorenzi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 10/21 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 1, Lorenzi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Lorenzi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 166 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 17, 2016
Basel
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Lorenzi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | - |
| ROI % | -15.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Lorenzi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | JPN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Joao Sousa
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Maxime Janvier
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Nino Serdarusic
Verona Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 18
Gonzalo Oliveira
Verona · Round of 32
Aug 17
Goncalo Oliveira
Verona Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Marco Cecchinato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 9
Zdenek Kolar
Cordenons Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Maxime Cressy
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 1st Round
Jul 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–21 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Lorenzi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | - |
| Sets won | 50% | - |
| Games won | 50% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Lorenzi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Lorenzi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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