Keenan Mayo vs Matteo CovatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keenan Mayo and Matteo Covato have met 1 time since 2025; Keenan Mayo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mayo has taken 2 sets to Covato's 1. Their most recent meeting: Keenan Mayo won at M25 Guadalajara 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mayo | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keenan Mayo | Matteo Covato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 22% | 8/36 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 4/10 | 25% | 13/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 1/3 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 2/6 | 30% | 10/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 71% | 15/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mayo 0, Covato 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mayo
🤖 Servebot
Covato
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 6, 2025
M25 Guadalajara 1
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mayo | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 0–10 |
| Avg odds | - | 5.39 |
| ROI % | - | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -10.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mayo | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | SUI → GER → NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hiroki Moriya
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Blaise Bicknell
M25 Las Vegas 1 · 2nd Round
Mar 26
Jack Karlsson Wistrand
M25 Las Vegas NV · Round of 32
Mar 25
Jack Karlsson Wistrand
M25 Las Vegas 1 · 1st Round
Mar 25
Evan Zhu
Cleveland Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 1
Karl Poling
Better Buzz Coffee San Diego Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 26
Elmar Ejupovic
M25 Guadalajara 1 · Semifinals
Nov 7
Matteo Covato
M25 Guadalajara 1 · Quarterfinals
Nov 6
Luca Wiedenmann
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 26
Denis Yevseyev
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Adrien Berrut
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Oliver Sanders
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Justin Schlageter
M25 Marburg · 1st Round
Jul 1
Noah Karma
M25 Klosters · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jan Kumstat
M25 Ceska Lipa · 1st Round
Jun 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–53 matches
| Metric | Mayo | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 32% |
| Sets won | 42% | 35% |
| Games won | 47% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mayo | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mayo | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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