Keegan Smith vs Soon Woo KwonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈKeegan Smith
#202 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
1 meeting Β· sets 1β2
π°π·Soon Woo Kwon
Unranked
7wKeegan Smith and Soon Woo Kwon have met 1 time since 2026; Soon Woo Kwon leads 1β0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 1 sets to Kwon's 2. Their most recent meeting: Soon Woo Kwon won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Woo Kwon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Soon Woo Kwon | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 40/59 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 16/35 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 35/94 | 27% | 10/37 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 21/32 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 23/50 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 49/61 | 93% | 26/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 40/61 | 82% | 23/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 0, Woo Kwon 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
π€ Servebot
Kwon
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 17, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Kwon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Smith | Soon Woo Kwon | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 15 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β6 | 2β3 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | -34.4% | -46.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.78u | -2.34u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 5 | β |
| Distance | 1,953 mi Β· 3,143 km | β |
| Route | USA | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kwon has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Smith's 63%).
| Opponent | Smith | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Edward Winter | W 63 46 62 | W 75 62 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | L 63 36 46 | W 75 46 63 |
| Gavin Young | W 64 64 | W 75 63 |
| Yunchaokete Bu | L 46 57 | W 62 76 |
| Alafia Ayeni | L 62 36 36 | W 64 76 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | W 76 46 76 | L |
| August Holmgren | W 63 36 63 | W 64 75 |
| Max Hans Rehberg | W 46 76 75 | W 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Oct 6
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bryce Nakashima
Columbus Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Oct 1
Kaylan Bigun
Columbus Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 29
Dylan Dietrich
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Sep 24
Edward Winter
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 21
Mitchell Krueger
Tiburon Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 15
Alexis Galarneau
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Dusan Lajovic
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Quebec City Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 19
Andrea Guerrieri
Quebec City Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Keegan Smith
Quebec City Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Andre Ilagan
Lexington Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tristan Schoolkate
Lexington Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Aidan Kim
Lexington Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 40β94 matches
| Metric | Smith | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 80% |
| Sets won | 60% | 74% |
| Games won | 54% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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