Keegan Smith vs Sebastian ErikssonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Smith and Sebastian Eriksson have met 1 time since 2025; Keegan Smith leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 2 sets to Eriksson's 1. Their most recent meeting: Keegan Smith won at M15 Fayetteville 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Eriksson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Sebastian Eriksson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 40/59 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 16/35 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 35/94 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 21/32 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 23/50 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 49/61 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 40/61 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 0, Eriksson 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🤖 Servebot
Eriksson
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 62% vs 🧱 The Wall across 266 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Keegan Smith.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 20, 2025
M15 Fayetteville 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Eriksson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | - |
| ROI % | -34.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.78u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Eriksson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bryce Nakashima
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Kaylan Bigun
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dylan Dietrich
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Edward Winter
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Mitchell Krueger
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Alexis Galarneau
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Keegan Smith
M15 Fayetteville 1 · Semifinals
Sep 20
Albert Pedrico Kravtsov
M15 Fayetteville 1 · Quarterfinals
Sep 19
Micah Braswell
M15 Fayetteville 1 · 2nd Round
Sep 18
Noah Schachter
M15 Fayetteville 1 · 1st Round
Sep 17
Valentin Lapalu
M15 Ystad 1 · 1st Round
Aug 13
Marc Majdandzic
M15 Eupen 1 · 1st Round
Aug 6
Lukas Neumayer
Braga · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 30
Tom Gentzsch
Tampere · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 94–94 matches
| Metric | Smith | Eriksson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | - |
| Sets won | 60% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Eriksson |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Eriksson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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