Keegan Smith vs Paul InchauspePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈKeegan Smith
#202 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
1 meeting Β· sets 2β1
π«π·Paul Inchauspe
#597 Β· 22 yrs Β· R
10wKeegan Smith and Paul Inchauspe have met 1 time since 2026; Keegan Smith leads 1β0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 2 sets to Inchauspe's 1. Their most recent meeting: Keegan Smith won at Segovia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Inchauspe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Paul Inchauspe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 40/59 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 16/35 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 35/94 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 21/32 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 23/50 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 49/61 | 86% | 12/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 40/61 | 86% | 12/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 0, Inchauspe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
π€ Servebot
Inchauspe
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 24, 2026
Segovia Challenger
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Inchauspe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Smith | Paul Inchauspe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Inchauspe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β6 | 4β3 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -34.4% | -7.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.78u | -0.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Inchauspe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 6 | β |
| Distance | 2,418 mi Β· 3,891 km | β |
| Route | USA | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Inchauspe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Smith's 0%).
| Opponent | Smith | Inchauspe |
|---|---|---|
| Hamish Stewart | L 67 63 36 | W 36 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Oct 6
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bryce Nakashima
Columbus Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Oct 1
Kaylan Bigun
Columbus Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 29
Dylan Dietrich
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Sep 24
Edward Winter
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 21
Mitchell Krueger
Tiburon Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 15
Alexis Galarneau
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Koki Matsuda
Istanbul Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Petr Bar Biryukov
Istanbul Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Gabriel Debru
Samsun Challenger Β· Semifinals
Aug 1
Yanki Erel
Samsun Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Samsun Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 29
Ergi Kirkin
Samsun Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Keegan Smith
Segovia Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Florent Bax
Segovia Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 25β94 matches
| Metric | Smith | Inchauspe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 68% |
| Sets won | 60% | 64% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Inchauspe |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Inchauspe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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