Keegan Smith vs Neil OberleitnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Smith and Neil Oberleitner have met 1 time since 2026; Keegan Smith leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 2 sets to Oberleitner's 0. Their most recent meeting: Keegan Smith won at Thionville Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Oberleitner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Neil Oberleitner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 40/59 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 16/35 | 10% | 1/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 35/94 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 21/32 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 23/50 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 49/61 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 40/61 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 1, Oberleitner 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🤖 Servebot
Oberleitner
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 2, 2026
Thionville Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Oberleitner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 3.60 |
| ROI % | -34.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.78u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Oberleitner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Oberleitner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Smith's 0%).
| Opponent | Smith | Oberleitner |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Martineau | L 63 67 26 | W 61 46 106 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bryce Nakashima
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Kaylan Bigun
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dylan Dietrich
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Edward Winter
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Mitchell Krueger
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Alexis Galarneau
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Matteo Martineau
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Sandro Kopp
Monza Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Keegan Smith
Thionville Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Arthur Bouquier
Thionville Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1
Lukas Pokorny
Bahrain Open Tennis Challenger · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 27
Radu Albot
Bahrain Open Tennis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 26
Yi Zhou
Nonthaburi 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–94 matches
| Metric | Smith | Oberleitner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 47% |
| Sets won | 60% | 44% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Oberleitner |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Oberleitner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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