Keegan Smith vs Moez EcharguiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Smith and Moez Echargui have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Forli 3 in 2021 on hard. Across all meetings Smith has taken 3 sets to Echargui's 2. Their most recent meeting: Moez Echargui won at Wimbledon (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Echargui | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Moez Echargui | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 48/67 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 15/32 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 34/99 | 34% | 17/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 35/59 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 21/29 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 27/50 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 56/66 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 48/66 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 1, Echargui 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
💥 Big Hitter
Echargui
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Keegan Smith.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 29, 2026
Wimbledon
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Dec 6, 2021
Forli 3
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Echargui | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Smith | Moez Echargui | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 3.68 |
| ROI % | +31.9% | +21.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.78u | +2.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,174 mi · 1,890 km |
| Route | — | USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Smith and Echargui posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Smith | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | L 63 36 26 | L 16 75 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Paul Inchauspe
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Digvijay Pratap Singh
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Nerman Fatic
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Niels McDonald
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Zsombor Piros
Brasov Challenger · Final
Jul 5
Guido Ivan Justo
Brasov Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 4
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Moise Kouame
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Otto Virtanen
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Spencer Johnson
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Lloyd Harris
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Keegan Smith
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Hugo Gaston
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–99 matches
| Metric | Smith | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 37% |
| Sets won | 64% | 41% |
| Games won | 55% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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