Keegan Smith vs Manuel Pena LopezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Smith and Manuel Pena Lopez have met 1 time since 2019; Keegan Smith leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 2 sets to Lopez's 0. Their most recent meeting: Keegan Smith won at Champaign (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Pena Lopez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Manuel Pena Lopez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 40/59 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 16/35 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 35/94 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 21/32 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 23/50 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 49/61 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 40/61 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 1, Pena Lopez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🤖 Servebot
Lopez
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 900 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Keegan Smith.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 5, 2019
Champaign
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | - |
| ROI % | -34.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.78u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bryce Nakashima
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Kaylan Bigun
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dylan Dietrich
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Edward Winter
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Mitchell Krueger
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Alexis Galarneau
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jorge Abde Celis
M25 Santiago 1 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Keegan Smith
Champaign · Round of 64
Nov 5
Gonzalo Villanueva
Buenos Aires · 3rd Round Qualifying
Nov 2
Carlos Taberner
Buenos Aires · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Buenos Aires · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 1
Cristian Rodriguez
Lima · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Mauricio Echazu
Lima · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 3
Jorge Panta
Lima · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 1–94 matches
| Metric | Smith | Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 0% |
| Sets won | 60% | 0% |
| Games won | 54% | 33% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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